Friday, 4 November 2011

OSK maintains 'neutral' call on steel stocks

OSK Research is cutting its fair value for steel firms across the board, citing their below average outlook amid the volatile market as a factor.

The steel stocks are currently offering limited price upside, the research house said, adding that it has placed a "neutral" call on most counters, except Perwaja Holdings Bhd and Kinsteel Bhd.

For Perwaja and Kinsteel, it has maintained its 10 per cent discounted cash flow valuation for the potential iron ore mine as well as "buy" and "trading buy" recommendations, respectively.

Although no official agreement has been signed to date, Menteri Besar of Terengganu was reported to be ready to consent to Perwaja’s application to mine ore in Bukit Besi.

OSK said the sluggishness in the economy also suggested that its earlier anticipated mergers and acquisitions in the sector might now take longer to materialise.

News that Lion Group is liquidating its steel assets has dragged on following a series of negative developments in the European Union and United States, it said.

"Although negotiations are ongoing and there are at least four interested buyers, we suspect the conclusion of such deal may be delayed as buyers may take up their time in bargaining for better pricing amid a weak economic backdrop," OSK said.

OSK also said that the possibility of the Lim family selling 10 - 15 per cent stake in Ann Joo is fading as the share price has fallen too far from the ideal price tag.

The research house is also generally bearish on steel demand, which may potentially be dampened by a weak economic outlook but believes that Asia’s steel market may hold up better than in other parts of the world.

On the local front, various government mega projects to be rolled out under the Economic Transformation Programme will boost the country’s steel requirements, particularly long steel products.

OSK also foresees the Mass Rail Transit (MRT) and the 100-storey Warisan Merdeka as the two projects that may substantially spur steel demand. -- Bernama
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