Monday, 16 January 2012

Petronas, Shell Malaysia commit US$12 bln for oil recovery projects

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) and Shell Malaysia will commit US$12 billion (RM37.80 billion) over 30 years for two enhanced oil recovery (EOR) projects offshore of Sarawak and Sabah, starting January 2011.

Petronas said on Monday it had production sharing contracts (PSC) for the two EOR offshore of Sarawak and Sabah to Shell Malaysia and its own unit, Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd.

The national oil company said the awarding of the contracts were after they had signed the heads of agreement in November 2011 to build upon two existing PSCs for oil fields in the Baram Delta area off Sarawak and the north Sabah development area.

Petronas said that oil was earlier produced using mainly primary and secondary techniques. But under the new EOR PSCs, Shell Malaysis and Petronas Carigali would use the EOR or other techniques to further develop nine oil fields in the Baram delta and four oil fields in the north Sabah development area.

To recap, Petronas Carigali (which is the operator) has a 60% stake in the Baram delta EOR PSC while Shell Malaysia holds the other 40%. As for the north Sabah EOR PSC, they each own a 50:50 interest.

Petronas said the partners’ financial commitment for the two EOR projects would amount to US$12 billion over 30 years.

“The EOR projects are expected to recover more than 750 million barrels of oil from the two PSC areas,” it said.



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Bumi Armada subsidiary bags RM155m Petrobras contract

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Bumi Armada Bhd’s subsidiary, Bumi Armada Navigation Sdn Bhd has secured a RM155 million contract from PetrĂ³leo Brasileiro S.A.

It said on Monday the contract was to provide one anchor handling towing support (AHTS) vessel to Petrobras in its hydrocarbon and mining activities in the Brazilian continental shelf.

“The contract is for a period of four years with an extension option of another four years. The contract is expected to be effective by the first quarter of 2012, when Petrobras is anticipated to formally accept delivery of the vessel,” it said.

Bumi Armada expected the RM155 million contract to contribute positively to the revenue and earnings for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2012 and the financial periods thereafter.



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Hovid to be uplifted from PN17 status on Tuesday

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Bursa Malaysia Securities has lifted HOVID BHD [] from the Practice Note 17 status with effect from Tuesday.

It said on Monday that Bursa Malaysia Securities Bhd had considered the profitability and growth of the Hovid group’s pharmaceutical segment for the past seven financial years up to June 30, 2011 as well as the latest financial quarter for the period ended Sept 30, 2011.

Bursa Securities had also taken into account that Hovid had completed the distribution of a portion of its shareholdings in CAROTECH BHD [] via dividend in specie on Dec 23, 2011. Another factor was that Hovid no longer triggered any of the criteria of PN17.

After considering the factors, Bursa Securities decided to grant Hovid a waiver from complying with paragraph 8.04(3) of the Main Market Listing Requirements which required a PN17 company to submit a regularisation plan to the relevant authority to regularise its condition.

“With the waiver being granted, Bursa Securities has informed that the company will be uplifted from its PN17 status effective from 9am on Jan 17, 2012,” it said.



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Kulim rejects chamber’s offer to buy its 58.68% stake in QSR

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan16): KULIM (M) BHD [] has rejected the unsolicited offer from the Malay Chamber of Commerce Malaysia’s (MCCM) to buy its 58.68% stake in QSR BRANDS BHD [] at RM6.90 a share.

Kulim said on Monday its board of directors had deliberated on MCCM’s offer to acquire the shares which would have required Kulim’s shareholders’ approval.

“Kulim took note of the stand by its holding corporation, Johor Corporation, that it would not support any proposal to dispose of the QSR Shares.

“In view of the above, Kulim has by a letter dated Jan 16, 2012 informed DPMM that the offer is rejected,” it said.

To recap, MCCM had offered to buy the 58.68% stake in QSR for RM6.90 a share, rivalling an earlier RM6.80 offer by Massive Equity Sdn Bhd, a joint vehicle between Kulim’s ultimate parent Johor Corp and private equity firm CVC Capital Partners.

Massive Equity was offering to buy all of the assets and liabilities of both QSR and KFC Holdings Bhd (KFCH), which worked out to cost more than RM5.3 billion excluding warrants.

In comparison, MCCM’s offer is only for Kulim’s stake in QSR, although such acquisition will eventually trigger a general offer for QSR and hence KFCH.



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Sunway bags RM42.38m construction job in Tropicana

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Sunway Bhd’s unit Sunway Geotechnics (M) Sdn Bhd has landed a RM42.38 million sub-structure contract for the office and service apartments blocks in Persiaran Tropicana, Selangor.

It said on Monday it had accepted the contract from Tropicana Golf & Country Resort Bhd to undertake the earthwork, piling, pilecaps and basement slab for one block of 16-storey offices (210 units) and one block of 38-storey service apartments (453 units).

“The proposed project is targeted to be fully completed on or by Jan 16, 2013 with a CONSTRUCTION [] period of 12 months. It is expected to contribute positively to the earnings of Sunway Group for the financial year ending Dec 31, 2012 onwards,” it said.



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Market Commentary

The FBM KLCI index lost 14.01 points or 0.92% on Monday. The Finance Index fell 0.59% to 13372.72 points, the Properties Index dropped 0.42% to 1000.21 points and the Plantation Index down 0.91% to 8428.77 points. The market traded within a range of 12.14 points between an intra-day high of 1521.20 and a low of 1509.06 during the session.

Actively traded stocks include COMPUGT, UOADEV, HOVID-WA, AMEDIA, UOADEV-CB, MAYBULK-CC, CIMB, HOVID, JCY-CD and REDTONE. Trading volume decreased to 1435.82 mil shares worth RM1363.76 mil as compared to Friday’s 1766.31 mil shares worth RM1608.93 mil.

Lagging Movers were GENTING (-32 sen to RM10.56), CIMB (-8 sen to RM7.19), TENAGA (-11 sen to RM6.12), IOICORP (-9 sen to RM5.34) and MAYBANK (-7 sen to RM8.19). Market breadth was negative with 207 gainers as compared to 542 losers. -- JF Apex Securities Bhd



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Axis REIT 4Q net profit falls 21.9% to RM31.98m

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Axis Real Estate Investment Trust (Axis REIT) net profit for the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011 fell 21.89% to RM31.98 million from RM40.94 million a year ago, due mainly to property and non-property expenses.

It said on Monday that revenue for the quarter rose 12.1% to RM29.81 million from RM26.59 million in 2010.

Earnings per unit was 8.20 sen compared to 10.89 sen a year earlier, while net assets per unit was RM2.08.

For the financial year ended Dec 31, Axis REIT’s net profit fell 20.02% to RM81.05 million from RM101.35 million in 2010, while revenue for the year rose to RM114.73 million from RM89.85 million.

Reviewing its performance, Axis REIT said that for the financial year ended Dec 31 the total expenditure was RM49.89 million, of which RM17.36 million were attributable to property expenses and RM32.54 million to non-property expenses.

Meanwhile, realised income before taxation and available for distribution amounted to RM64.83 million, it said.

Axis REIT said that to-date, it had paid a total income distribution of RM59.39 million up to Nov 25, 2011, and that it had set aside RM6.35 million for income distribution as the final distribution which translates to 1.40 sen per unit to be paid on Feb 29, 2012.

It said a total of RM13.21 million was incurred for enhancement of the PROPERTIES [] during the year, with most of the expenses being spent for the refurbishment of Menara Axis and Crystal Plaza.

On its prospects, Axis REIT said in view of satisfactory performance of its existing investment portfolio and its growth strategy to actively pursue quality acquisitions, it would be able to maintain its current performance for the coming quarter and the rest of the financial year ending Dec 31, 2012.



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HeiTech Padu wins RM63m BSN contract for IT system

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): HEITECH PADU BHD [] has secured a RM63.60 million contract from Bank Simpanan Nasional for the latter’s proposed core banking system.

It said on Monday it had accepted the letter of award which entailed the supplying, designing to the implementation and providing support for the system.

“The contract is for a period of 24 months commencing from Feb 15, 2012 to Feb 14, 2014. Any further renewal or extension of the duration is at the discretion of BSN,” it said.



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Kimlun unit gets construction job worth RM82.1m

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Kimlun Corporation Bhd has landed a contract worth RM82.1 million for the CONSTRUCTION [] of two blocks of service apartment and ancillary buildings in Johor Bahru.

The company said on Monday that its wholly-owned subsidiary Kimlun Sdn Bhd had accepted the letter of award from Ikatan Flora Sdn. Bhd, a sub-subsidiary of IJM LAND BERHAD [] for the contract.

It said that the construction work was expected to be completed by May 2014.

Kimlun said the project was expected to contribute positively to its earnings for the current financial year ending Dec 31, 2012 and the subsequent financial years during the contract period.



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SapCrest orders 2 pipelay vessels

SapuraCrest Petroleum Bhd (Jan 13, RM4.60)
Maintain buy at RM4.58 with target price of RM5.60: SapuraCrest Petroleum Bhd’s rapid expansion of its marine fleet to capitalise on the boom in the installation of pipelines and facilities (IPF) is positive, in keeping with its aspiration to be a regional player. This strategy will be rewarding, if it is executed well. However, contributions will only be realised from FY15. We remain positive on its strong ability to grow and pursue new jobs for medium-term growth, and continue to rate SapCrest a “buy”.

SapCrest has placed orders for two 550-tonne pipelay support vessels. These newbuilds, to be built at the IHC Offshore and Marine BV yard, are scheduled for delivery by May 30, 2014 (30-month delivery) and Aug 29, 2014 (33-month). The values for these orders were not disclosed but we estimate that based on current market rates, they would cost about US$350 million (RM1.09 billion) each. SapCrest will pay 20% of the contract price within 25 days of the contract signing, and the remaining 80% upon delivery.

Considering the huge capital outlay, we reckon SapCrest will likely co-own these vessels with its existing partners (Subsea 7, Acergy), on equal equity stakes. These vessels will be deployed for installation and pipeline facilities (IPF) works in Brazil. We think one of the vessels will be chartered for Petroleo Brasileiro’s fields.

These vessels could contribute about US$10 million per year to earnings from FY15, based on a 50% ownership stake. Overall, SapCrest’s regional aspirations are shaping up; it aims for overseas operations to contribute about 30% to revenue over the next three years (from <10% now), before the merger with Kencana Petroleum Bhd.

The proposed merger between SapCrest and Kencana (Newco), pending regulatory and court approvals, is on track and is expected to be concluded by March or April this year.

Based on the offer share swap ratio of 1.96 Newco shares plus 68.54 sen cash for every SapCrest share held, we derive a target price of RM5.60 for SapCrest. We value Newco at RM2.50 (20 times 2013 earnings per share). — Maybank IB Research, Jan 13


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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KLCI extends loss for second day, falls below 1,510-level

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): The FBM KLCI extended its losses on Monday and fell below the 1,510-point level in line with the overall weaker investor sentiment at key regional markets following Standard & Poor’s cutting the sovereign credit rating of nine of the euro zone's 17 countries.

The FBM KLCI fell 14.01 points to 1,509.06.

Losers beat gainers by 542 to 207, while 289 counters traded unchanged. Volume was 1.44 billion shares valued at RM1.36 billion.

Meanwhile, European stocks pared early losses and turned flat in morning trade as gains in defensive shares offset a drop in banking stocks following a mass credit rating downgrade by S&P of euro zone countries, according to Reuters.

The US markets are closed on Monday to observe the Martin Luther King Jr Day holiday.

At the regional markets, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.71% to 2,206.19, Japan’s Nikkei 225 lost 1.43% to 8,378.36, Taiwan’s Taiex was down 1.09% to 7,103.62, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1% to 19,012.20, South Korea’s Kospi shed 0.87% to 1,859.27 and Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 1.26% to 2,756.49.

Royal Bank of Scotland analysts said that overall, while the market impact of the downgrades was unlikely to be very significant in the short term, they serve as a stark reminder that the euro area sovereign crisis is here to stay.

In a note Jan 16, the analysts said that more importantly, these downgrades were likely to solidify expectations that neither the EFSF nor the ESM will be able to maintain their AAA rating.

“This in turn is likely to make any significant increase in the lending capacity of either institution more difficult.

“We continue to expect the crisis to deepen eventually leading to further widening in spreads across countries vis-Ă -vis Germany,” they said.

On Bursa Malaysia, BAT was the top loser and fell 46 sen to RM49.30; Genting lost 32 sen to RM10.56, Dutch Lady and GAB down 28 sen each to RM25.50 and RM11.70, F&N down 22 sen to RM18.68, Batu Kawan 20 sen to RM18.60, Petronas Dagangan and UMW 18 sen each to RM17.22 and RM6.81, while Parkson and Genting PLANTATION []s fell 17 sen each to RM5.53 and RM8.94.

Compugates was the most actively traded counter with 157.2 million shares done. The stock added one sen to 8 sen.

Other actives included UOA Development, Hovid, Asia Media, CIMB and RedTone.

Among the gainers, Maybulk rose 23 sen to RM2.11, Eupe and GUH 18 sen each to 63 sen and RM1.38, UOA Development 17 sen to RM1.58, Can-One 14 sen to RM2.02, Tasek and Far East up 10 sen each to RM8 and RM7, while SHL and Kian Joo added nine sen each to RM1.30 and RM2.25.



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More gas to alleviate power sector’s problems

Power sector
Maintain overweight: We maintain our overweight call on the sector as ex-Tenaga Nasional Bhd, utilities offer secure yields and stable cash flows. In 2012, Petronas Gas Bhd, our top pick, will complete its regassing terminal which will help alleviate the country’s gas shortage.

PetGas’ Malacca regassing terminal (RGT), will be completed in June/July 2012, bringing in 500 mmscfd of gas. Half will go to the power sector to ease the gas shortage. The sector is receiving circa 1,000 mmscfd of gas, below the 1,350 mmscfd contracted level.

We believe the gas supply could rise by circa 48% to 1,475 mmscfd by 2013. This assumes: (i) successful commissioning of the RGT (+250 mmscfd); (ii) Bekok-C field at full strength (+125 mmscfd); and (iii) gas from the North Malaya basin (+100 mmscfd). This will help alleviate the country’s gas shortage.

While news reports suggest that the first-generation power purchase agreements (PPA) may not be renewed, our analysis shows that this would bring the country’s reserve margin far below the government’s 25% target even after accounting for 6.75GW of scheduled plant-ups. We believe the PPAs will be renegotiated but at lower returns.

PetGas is not subject to procurement risk and its earnings are assured, with 67% of revenues fixed up to FY14. Completion of the Malacca RGT will give the company credibility to own future RGTs should Petroliam Nasional Bhd go ahead with them. Each could add pre-tax profit of about RM200 million or 13% of our FY11 forecast. In addition, PetGas is undergeared with return on equity of only 16% despite a 70% earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin. A 1% increase in net gearing would free up RM100 million cash or 5 sen per share. — CIMB Research, Jan 13


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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Uchi: Resilient DPS in challenging FY12

Uchi Technologies Bhd (Jan 13, RM1.16)
Maintain buy at RM1.15 with revised target price of RM1.34 (from RM1.55): Uchi is expected to release its 4QFY11 results by end-February, which are likely to fall within our core net profit estimate of RM47.3 million (+2% year-on-year [y-o-y]). Recall that 9MFY11 net profit amounted to RM38.3 million (+12.9% y-o-y) or 81% of our full-year forecast, thereby implying a slightly weaker 4QFY11. This is due to the continued weak consumer sentiment and uncertain global economic environment. Management, however, has guided that FY11 dividend per share (DPS) of 12 sen will likely remain unchanged from FY10, which implies a final DPS of seven sen (implied payout of 95%) after the interim dividend payment of five sen.

Management has guided for a weaker FY12 based on current order flow and judging from the ongoing global economic uncertainty. Consistent with our macro view, however, its management believes that 2HFY12 will be stronger, underpinned by the introduction of new products and a gradual global economic recovery.

Nevertheless, on the whole, its management believes that FY12 revenue is likely to be weaker by 15% in US dollar terms, affected primarily by the weaker demand for its coffee modules. Demand for its biotech equipment remains fairly resilient and is likely to continue to see growth in FY12. (Uchi’s biotech division is estimated to account for 20% of FY11 group revenue). The company is introducing two new products — an encoder and infra-red module — from early 2QFY12, though near-term contribution is unlikely to be meaningful.

Capital expenditure (capex) for FY12 will likely rise to RM35 million from RM12 million for FY11 as Uchi rushes to complete Phase 3 of its plant expansion, next to its current location in Prai, Penang. The plant will be dedicated to R&D and used primarily for reliability testing, cleanroom and offices for customers instead of expansion of new lines. Of more significance, the higher capex in FY12 is unlikely to affect its DPS for FY12 (Uchi’s cash balance remains high at RM143 million or 38 sen per share as at end 3QFY11)

Our earnings forecast is adjusted for the weaker guidance and higher FY12 capex, thereby resulting in a 11% to 14% cut in our FY12/FY13 forecast. We have also trimmed our FY12 DPS forecast to 11 sen from 12 sen (FY13: 12 sen from 13 sen previously). Our target price for Uchi is lowered to RM1.34 (previously RM1.55), based on an unchanged 11 times FY12 earnings per share.

We retain our “buy” rating as our investment thesis for Uchi remains unchanged, hinging on its strong dividend payouts (average of 79% over the past three years), underpinned by its strong free cash flows. The key risk to our recommendation lies in the stock’s low trading liquidity which could increase stock price volatility during a downturn. — Affin IB Research, Jan 13


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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DiGi expects to end the year well but valuation stretched

DiGi.Com Bhd (Jan 13, RM3.90)
Maintain neutral at RM3.92 with revised target price of RM3.70 (from RM3.40): DiGi.Com Bhd is expected to release its 4QFY11 results on Thursday. We expect the company to register FY11 net profit of RM1.13 billion, a decline of 4.2% year-on-year (y-o-y). The decline in earnings growth will be due to DiGi’s accelerated depreciation policy for FY11 and FY12. However, we are not ruling out an upside surprise to this estimate due to the possible increase in usage during the year-end holiday period.

Nevertheless, we expect DiGi to register better normalised net profit growth of 7.2% y-o-y. We derive the normalised earnings by discounting the accelerated depreciation. Hence, its FY11 operating expenses will only rise by 5.8% y-o-y to RM4.03 billion instead of the 10.6% y-o-y growth to RM4.22 billion on a non-normalised basis.

We expect DiGi’s full-year revenue to grow by 4.5% y-o-y to hit RM5.65 billion as the data revenue momentum continues due to the expected increase in usage. We expect the continuation of the double digit growth trend in data revenue seen in previous quarters particularly in the mobile Internet and broadband segment. Therefore, we will not be surprised should data revenue contribution surpass the 30% mark in 4QFY11. The data revenue contribution was 29.4% in 3QFY11.

Operationally, we opine that DiGi will show some earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin pressure as we expect Ebitda growth to be marginally flat 0.7% y-o-y to RM2.42 billion. However, Ebitda margin will still be stable at around 43% to 44%.


We are not expecting DiGi to announce any special dividend or capital distribution for FY11. We understand that the capital distribution will be from FY12. However, taking a cue from previous actions, there is a possibility that DiGi will announce a dividend in 4QFY11. We expect dividend yield to reach 3.7% in FY11, based on its current price.

Pending the 4QFY11 results, we are maintaining our FY11 forecast for now. We continue to like DiGi for its strong operations, its commitment to reward its shareholders and as a good defensive stock. However, we believe that the valuation for DiGi is currently stretched. It is trading at a forward price-earnings ratio of 25 times compared with its regional peers’ 16.7 times PER. Hence, we maintain our “neutral” recommendation despite our positive view on DiGi. We revise our target price to RM3.70 (from RM3.40) as we assign a lower weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.04% (from 9.45%) to our discounted dividend model. We believe that the lowered WACC is justified due to DiGi’s low risk profile as it operates in a stable environment. — MIDF Research, Jan 13


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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YNH targets RM1b property sales in FY12

KUALA LUMPUR: YNH Property Bhd foresees flat property sales growth in the current fiscal year in the absence of new launches during the period.

Head of corporate services Daniel Chan said the developer expects to sell about RM1 billion worth of properties from existing projects for its FY12 ending Dec 31, which is almost similar to what it achieved a year ago.

“Sales are there and we will see profit in the next four to five years. However, the biggest catalyst is the RM2.1 billion Menara YNH in Jalan Sultan Ismail, Kuala Lumpur.

“If we can sell the tower en bloc, our sales will jump,” Chan told The Edge Financial Daily in a recent interview.

YNH’s existing mixed developments include the RM600 million Fraser Residence off Jalan Sultan Ismail and Jalan Ampang, and the RM1 billion Kiara 163 in Mont’Kiara. The developer is also undertaking residential and commercial projects within some 1,000 acres (400ha) in Manjung, Perak.

YNH launched around RM5 billion worth of properties in FY11 and raked in RM1 billion in sales during the year. The company sold RM450 million worth of properties in Fraser Residence and raked in RM300 million from Kiara 163, said Chan. In Manjung, he said YNH had secured sales of about RM250 million.

While YNH has not lined up any launches for FY12, Chan said the company intends to unveil its mixed development on a 95-acre tract in Genting Highlands next year. Besides the commercial and retail portions, the estimated RM3 billion project will include condominiums and bungalows.

Menara YNH will be closely watched as this development is seen as a major catalyst for YNH’s bottom line growth. The project has been delayed several times since 2006, as deals by two prospective buyers were terminated.

Chan: If we can sell the tower en bloc, our sales will jump.

According to Chan, the developer which plans to sell Menara YNH en bloc, is talking to potential local and foreign buyers to acquire the commercial tower. He declined to specify the buyers, only indicating that they included foreign businessmen with deep pockets.

“These foreign tycoons are major real estate investors,” Chan said. He indicated that Menara YNH, by virtue of its strategic location, had attracted market interest and that YNH is not in a rush to sell the property as it hopes to secure the highest price.

“We will consider if the price is good,” Chan said, without specifying the timeframe when the deal would be finalised.
YNH had originally tied up with Singapore property giant CapitaLand Ltd on the project. The two companies signed an MoU in December 2006 to jointly develop Menara YNH on a 60:40 basis. Construction was originally slated to begin in mid-2007 with completion by end-2011. But in June 2007, the MoU was terminated.

In January 2008, YNH announced that it would sell half of the Menara YNH project to Kuwait Finance House (KFH) for RM920 million. The sale involved an area of 750,000 sq ft at RM1,230 psf, which at that time set a new high as it was about 10% higher than the record price commanded by the 36-storey Glomac Tower nearby.

KFH was supposed to take up half the building with the rest to be sold to other buyers. YNH was to rake in RM1.84 billion in total proceeds from selling the entire project. But the KFH sale fell through due to the global financial crisis. In December 2009, KFH informed YNH that it would not proceed with the formalisation of the sale and purchase agreement.

YNH’s net profit for the nine months ended Sept 30 fell 14% to RM40.22 million from RM46.55 million a year earlier while revenue dropped 26% to RM158.02 million from RM213.97 million before. Its net profit was curbed by higher tax expenses, according to notes accompanying its latest financials.

As at Sept 30, YNH had cash of RM17.47 million versus debts of RM265.07 million, translating into a net debt of RM247.6 million or net gearing of 0.3 times.

Its latest reported net assets per share stood at RM1.92. YNH shares closed at RM1.85 last Friday.

YNH, listed on Bursa Malaysia in 2003 under its former name Yu Neh Huat Bhd, began as a plantation entity in 1982 before venturing into property development.

The group’s real estate business took off in 1987 within Perak’s Sitiawan, Manjung and Lumut corridor where the group’s flagship Bandar Manjung Point township sits.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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Ta Ann sees softer plywood prices

KUALA LUMPUR: Timber outfit Ta Ann Holdings Bhd is expecting plywood prices to soften this year, while a economic slowdown would affect demand for plywood in Japan and other markets.

“We are not very bullish on the timber sector this year due to the weak global economic sentiments. A possible second recession would affect housing starts in Japan and other economies and impact the demand for timber products,” said a Ta Ann spokesman

He told The Edge Financial Daily that 2011 had been a good year for the timber market due to rising log and plywood prices. An industry observer noted that the plywood prices increased last year due to the anticipated rise in demand for timber for reconstruction work in Japan.

Plywood prices increased some 12% last year after the Japan earthquake due to speculative buying on reconstruction efforts. However, plywood prices have since eased to around US$620 (RM1,941) per cubic metre due to inventory build-up in the country. Japan is the biggest plywood export market for local timber players.

“Demand from Japan has been flattish due to the build-up in inventory. We expect plywood prices to remain around US$630 per cu m as we do not see any increase in demand from Japan just yet,” said the spokesman. A timber analyst also noted that some Japanese plywood producers had resumed production, which prevents any boost in plywood imports to Japan.

Last week, Malaysian Timber Industry Board director-general Dr Jalaluddin Harun said timber players would also need to compete with soft plywood suppliers from Canada and Russia in the Japanese market.



The Ta Ann spokesman noted that Japan has been importing soft plywood since the 1990s.

“Japan’s market consists of 80% soft plywood and 20% hard plywood (tropical plywood). This has always been the case since the 1990s. As such, I do not foresee the soft wood players to eat into the hard plywood market share as both have different applications and usage,” he said.

He said log prices would also soften in the coming months due to price correction.

“Last year, log prices had increased from US$220 to US$260 per cu m. However, this could not be sustained as the prices are becoming too expensive for markets such as India,” he said.

As such, he noted that Ta Ann would see its oil palm plantations remain the main contributor to the group’s profits due to higher fresh fruit bunch (FFB) production and increasing mature hectarage.

“The oil palm business would contribute about 80% to our earnings. We expect crude palm oil prices to remain strong at the current RM3,000 per tonne levels while our production would increase by 25% to 30% to 600,000 tonnes this year,” he said.

A timber analyst said reconstruction efforts in Japan are expected to start in the first half of 2012 as any further delay would affect the national’s economic productivity. Since the earthquake, Japan has approved up to ¥15.3 trillion (RM623 billion) for reconstruction works.

“We foresee plywood exports to be flattish or increase marginally this year. Note that any global economic slowdown would impact the housing starts in key markets such as India, China and Japan,” he said. For the first 11 months of 2011, Japan imported 3.37 million cu m of plywood, which is a 17.6% increase from the corresponding period in 2010.

In a recent report, RHB Research said Ta Ann and Jaya Tiasa Holdings Bhd are becoming “quasi-plantation stocks” as their plantations contribute over 70% to their earnings.

“Jaya Tiasa and Ta Ann would still enjoy relative robust earnings growth due to significant increase in their FFB production volumes over the next two years as a result of maturing hectarage. This could provide earnings comfort for investors and cushion the more volatile earnings from timber,” it said.

It maintained a “neutral” call on the timber sector. It has a fair value of RM7.80 and RM6.97 for Jaya Tiasa and Ta Ann respectively.

Jaya Tiasa and Ta Ann closed at RM7.09 and RM5.50 respectively last Friday.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.



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Kian Joo poised for record profit ahead of takeover

KUALA LUMPUR: Kian Joo Can Factory Bhd (KJCF) looks poised for a record year of profit against the backdrop of the See family courtroom tussle for the company.

While Can-One Bhd may soon seize control of the majority stake in KJCF which may in turn result in a boardroom struggle, it would appear that in terms of valuation, KJCF is still an attractive counter.

KJCF is a very different animal today from what it was three years ago when Can-One won a bid to acquire a 32.9% stake in KJCF for RM1.68 per share in February 2009. Operations in Vietnam are turning profitable yet valuations are relatively low with share price parity to net assets per share.

TA Research forecast KJCF’s FY11 net profit to rise to RM116.8 million, up 14.5% from RM101.98 million for FY10. Net profit for FY12 is expected to be RM143 million. In line with that expectation, TA Research maintains its “buy” call on KJCF shares with a target price of RM2.58.

Kenanga Research similarly forecasts KJCF’s net profit for FY11 increase 10.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM112.8 million and hit the RM132 million mark for FY12. Kenanga maintained its target price of RM2.38 with a “market perform” call on the counter.

KJCF closed at RM2.16 last Friday, rebounding 15 sen from RM2.01 after falling for one week since it a high of RM2.20 on Jan 6.

In terms of valuation, KJCF is still an attractive counter.

At RM2.16, KJCF is being valued at a price-to-earnings ratio (PER) of 8.47 times and 1.07 times book.

“Since it is a relatively old company, there is a chance some of its assets like land have not been revalued in awhile. On that basis, it would appear that Kian Joo is undervalued,” said an analyst.

While KJCF may be undervalued, the impending acquisition by Can-One reduces the value of buying into KJCF.

TA Research’s report read: “We find the offer price of RM1.65 on the low side as it does not reflect Kian Joo’s true value, as the price was offered four years ago. Assuming the exercise goes through, we advise investors to buy into Can-One for cheaper exposure to Kian Joo.”

Another analyst noted that Can-One’s acquisition would translate into better margins. Combined, both players would be able to command better prices in the market as well as leverage their combined size for better prices from suppliers.

“In terms of PE, manufacturing companies typically value fairly at about 10 to 12 times PER,” the analyst added.

An analyst also said KJCF had more upside potential in Vietnam as most of its earnings had not yet fully matured there as the company only established itself in Vietnam two years ago.

KJCF’s corrugated carton division in Vietnam had reaped RM60.6 million in revenue for 3QFY11 ended Sept 30, up 23% from RM49.2 million in the same quarter the previous year. However, profit before tax was 17% lower due to commodity derivatives and foreign exchange losses.

The company had reported a 32% higher revenue for its carton division in 9MFY11 to RM175 million from RM132.1 million a year earlier mainly due to operations in Vietnam. This resulted in a 90% increase in profit to RM11.8 million in 9MFY11 from RM6.2 million in 9MFY10.

In terms of yield, TA Research and Kenanga Research respectively expect KJCF to pay a dividend yield of 5.2% and 5.8% in 2011 and 6.6% and 6.8% for 2012 respectively.

Can-One recently got the go-ahead from the Federal Court to purchase the 32.9% stake in KJCF. Industry observers have noted that KJCF will unlikely find other legal means to prevent the sale.

One final play from the See family, which controls KJCF, is a rights issue announced in February 2011 which could dilute Can-One’s holdings.

According to TA Research’s report, while the exercise had been granted by the court after Can-One attempted an injunction, Bursa Malaysia has decided put it on hold.

KJCF had reported net profit for the 9MFY11 of RM89.75 million, up 13.81% from RM78.86 million in the previous corresponding period. Revenue in the period was up 11.2% to RM793.54 million from RM713.46 million before.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.




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DRB-Hicom bags Proton

KUALA LUMPUR: Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Al-Bukhary’s DRB-Hicom Bhd is understood to have secured Khazanah Nasional Bhd’s 42.7% equity interest in national carmaker Proton Holdings Bhd, with only a few minor issues left to seal the deal, industry sources tell The Edge Financial Daily.

It is understood the price range may be higher than market expectation of about RM5.50 per share.

Industry sources added that an announcement on the sale may be made anytime now. The conglomerate is said to have edged out a rival bid by Proton chairman Datuk Seri Mohd Nadzmi Mohd Salleh.
“[Nadzmi] gave it a good shot. It was a commendable effort by him and the management, but they did not have as much funding muscle as DRB-Hicom,” they said.

A couple of weeks ago, Nadzmi and the other top brass of Proton met Datuk Seri Najib Razak, during the premier’s visit the Proton plant in Shah Alam, as part of a last-ditch effort to sway the deal. It appears this has failed. Najib, by virtue of being prime minister, is chairman of the sovereign wealth fund, Khazanah.

The Edge Financial Daily had earlier reported that the bidders will meet Khazanah this week and show proof of funds or their financial prowess. Initial indications were that the Proton management was slated to meet Khazanah today, while DRB-Hicom was to meet the sovereign wealth fund on Wednesday.

The source indicated that Khazanah opted to contact the two bidders’ financiers in arriving at its decision.

However, other salient features of the deal, such as whether a general offer is in the offing, are not known. It is also not clear if DRB-Hicom has obtained an exemption from making a general offer, or will go ahead and privatise Proton.

At RM5.50, DRB-Hicom would end up paying RM3.02 billion for the entire 549.213 million shares in Proton. Khazanah’s 42.7% block or 234.51 million shares in Proton, meanwhile, would set the conglomerate back about RM1.28 billion.

DRB-Hicom is understood to have roped in Maybank Investment Bank Bhd for its merchant banking requirements and a few banks to provide funding for the acquisition.

For its six months ended Sept 30, DRB-Hicom posted a net profit of RM195.34 million on the back of RM3.06 billion in revenue.

On that date, the company had cash and bank balances amounting to RM1.41 billion, short-term borrowings of RM1.23 billion and long-term debt of RM890.23
million.

It is interesting to note that for the six months ended Sept 30, the company paid more than RM59 million in finance costs.

After weeks of speculation, DRB-Hicom early last week officially confirmed its interest in Proton, announcing to Bursa Malaysia that it “has always viewed Proton as an important automotive industry player and accordingly DRB-Hicom was on the look-out to explore any viable proposal(s) which would benefit and add value to the group’s business and expansion plans.”

“In this regard, the company has submitted a bid for the acquisition of Proton’s shares held by Khazanah,” it said.

Many say DRB-Hicom will rope in German auto giant Volkswagen AG, which has a collaboration and contract assembly arrangement with the former, to assist in its endeavours with Proton.

Other than Nadzmi, another bid or expression of interest for the automaker reportedly came from the Naza group, or parties linked to them.

Tan Chong Motor Holdings Bhd was said to have been invited to bid but the company threw cold water on the speculation. UMW Holdings Bhd was also said to be interested, but the company also denied the rumours.

Other interested parties include a tie-up between Tan Sri AP Arumugam and Gerald Lopez of Genii Capital, but this remains unsubstantiated.

Last Friday Proton tumbled 28 sen to close at RM5.18 with close to 11.8 million shares changing hands.

For its six months ended September, Proton posted a net profit of RM20.11 million and a revenue of RM4.5 billion. In contrast to the corresponding period a year ago, Proton’s net profit tumbled 86.7% despite marginally higher revenue.

Proton obtains grants from the government, which has helped it maintain profitability. However, much of its problems stem from its wholly-owned Lotus Group International Ltd, which has been incurring high expenses.

As at end-September, Proton had cash and bank balances amounting to RM1.31 billion, long-term debt commitments of RM881.2 million and short-term borrowings of RM77.89 million.

The cost to develop a new model can be as high as RM1 billion, which means that Proton does not have much leeway to develop many models at one go.

Proton recently confirmed media reports that it was looking to hive off up to 50% of its Tanjung Malim plant to Detroit-based General Motors Corp. However, it cautioned that the talks were still in the preliminary stages.

Reports suggested that the price tag is as high as RM800 million for a 50% stake in the plant, which will add to its coffers to fund the development of new models.

Other than the Tanjung Malim plant, Proton’s other main asset is its landbank, notably the site of its Shah Alam plant. This land could have a development value in excess of RM1 billion, property players say.

DRB-Hicom gained eight sen last Friday to close at at RM2.17.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, January 16, 2012.

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Can-One, Kian Joo buck market on GO speculation

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Shares of CAN-ONE BHD [] and KIAN JOO CAN FACTORY BHD [] (KJCF)extended their rally on Monday as market talk of a general offer by Can-One for KJCF intensified.

At 3.08pm, Can-One was up 12 sen to RM2 with 12.07 million shares done while KJCF added eight sen to RM2.24 with 4.18 million units transacted.

However, the FBM KLCI fell 11.08 points to 1,511.99. Turnover was 873.85 million shares valued at RM678.80 million. There were 148 gainers, 554 losers and 244 stocks unchanged.

Expectations of a general offer by Can-One after it was given court approval to acquire the 32.9% block of KJCF had seen the stocks rallying.

However, analysts said Can-One would be in a better position to increase the market share once its take control of KJCF. However, they expected some profit taking after Can-One’s price surge.

They said Can-One was cheap currently based on the future business growth and investors should pick up the stock if there was a price correction.

As for KJCF, they said long-term investors should stay invested as the fundamentals remain robust.



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Eita Resources gets SC nod to list on Main Mkt

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Eita Resources has received the Securities Commission’s approval to list on the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia Securities Bhd.

It said on Monday that its unit Eita-Schneider (MFG) Sdn Bhd provides end-to-end elevator systems services.

Eita’s group managing director Fu Wing Hoong said: “We are proud to be one of the few homegrown manufacturers and providers of elevator systems today, and we have successfully established a commendable track record alongside the country’s development.”

He said since 1998, the company had installed its in-house brand elevators including escalator and travellator systems in numerous commercial and residential PROPERTIES [], in Malaysia and the region.

Eita is expected to list in the first half of 2012. AmInvestment Bank Bhd is the adviser, sole underwriter and sole placement agent for Eita listing exercise.



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Khazanah sells Proton stake to DRB-Hicom at RM5.50 per share

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Khazanah Nasional Bhd is divesting its 42.72% stake in PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [] to DRB-Hicom via a conditional sale with a price consideration of RM5.50 per share or RM1.291 billion cash.

In a statement Monday, Khazanah said the decision to divest its stake in Proton to DRB-Hicom was made after detailed evaluation of various proposals to ensure that due process was observed, proper financial value was received and that the new shareholder will be able to bring Proton to the next level of strategic growth, in line with the aspirations of the industrial development of the national automotive sector.

Upon completion of the sale and purchase agreement, DRB-HICOM will be obliged to undertake a mandatory general offer on the remaining Proton shares, it said.

The statement from Khazanah confirmed a report by The Edge Financial Daily, citing industry sources on Monday, that said that DRB-Hicom was understood to have secured Khazanah's 42.7% stake in Proton, with only a few minor issues left to seal the deal.

Khazanah managing director Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar said it was another significant milestone in the sovereign wealth fund’s strategic divestment programme as it represented the largest in size to date.

“The divestment is a further example of Public-Private Partnerships, whereby strategic divestments are made with the aim of putting Government-linked companies (GLCs) on a stronger and more competitive footing, and at the same time enhancing private sector participation and building the entrepreneurial capacity of Malaysian businesses in key economic sectors,” he said.

Khazanah said that over the last five years, it had received numerous proposals regarding its stake in Proton, adding that it received a number of proposals in recent weeks and that a comprehensive evaluation was conducted.

“It included an assessment based on several key criteria, namely , having the financial ability and resources to undertake the acquisition; resources to invest further in the business; promoting the transformation of the entire Malaysian automotive industry via Proton and its value chain; and the commitment to maintain the operational integrity of Proton and its industry ecosystem.

“This commitment is crucial as Proton, being a national car manufacturer, has significant influence and impact on the entire value chain of the national automotive sector,” it said.

Khazanah said DRB-Hicom’s proposal also demonstrated the company’s extensive involvement in the automotive sector and its network of strategic partnerships, both local and international.

“DRB-Hicom’s proposed strategy and business plan provides an effective platform to enhance Proton’s sustainability and meet its long-term growth needs. It also submitted an offer price that was acceptable to Khazanah,” it said.



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DRB-Hicom says to make MGO for Proton

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): DRB-HICOM BHD [], which secured the winning bid for Khazanah Nasional’s 42.7% stake in PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [], will make a mandatory general offer (MGO) for the remaining stake in the national car maker.

DRB-Hicom said on Monday, the purchase price for the 42.7% stake at RM1.29 billion cash was based on RM5.50 per share.

“Upon completion of the proposed acquisition, DRB-Hicom’s shareholding in Proton will increase from nil to approximately 42.74%. DRB-Hicom will be obliged to extend a MGO for all the remaining Proton shares for a cash consideration of RM5.50 per Proton share,” it said.

DRB-Hicom said the proposed MGO would also depend on DRB-Hicom securing acceptances which would result in it holding more than 50% of the voting shares of Proton.

“The purchase consideration for the proposed acquisition of RM1.29 billion or RM5.50 per Proton share was arrived at on a willing buyer-willing seller basis after taking into consideration the audited net asset and net profits of Proton group for the FYE March 31, 2011, the potential future earnings of Proton Group, potential synergistic benefits arising from the proposed acquisition to DRB-Hicom and its group of companies and the prevailing and historical market prices of Proton shares,” it said.

DRB-Hicom said there were no liabilities, including contingent liabilities and guarantees, to be assumed by DRB-Hicom pursuant to the proposals.

“The existing liabilities of Proton group will be settled by Proton group in its ordinary course of business. There are no additional financial commitments by DRB-Hicom in putting the assets/businesses of Proton Group on-stream as Proton Group already has on-going businesses.

“The proposals will be funded by internally generated funds and/or external borrowings,” it said, adding it expected the proposals to be completed in the second quarter of 2012.



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Flash: Khazanah sells Proton stake to DRB-Hicom at RM5.50 per share

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Khazanah Nasional Bhd is divesting its 42.72% stake in PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [] to DRB-Hicom via a conditional sale with a price consideration of RM5.50 per share or RM1.291 billion.

In a statement Monday, Khazanah said the decision to divest its stake in Proton to DRB-Hicom was made after detailed evaluation of various proposals to ensure that due process was observed, proper financial value was received and that the new shareholder will be able to bring Proton to the next level of strategic growth, in line with the aspirations of the industrial development of the national automotive sector.

Upon completion of the sale and purchase agreement, DRB-Hicom will be obliged to undertake a mandatory general offer on the remaining Proton shares, it said.

The statement from Khazanah confirmed a report by The Edge Financial Daily, citing industry sources on Monday, that said that DRB-Hicom was understood to have secured Khazanah's 42.7% stake in Proton, with only a few minor issues left to seal the deal.



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Boustead sells 95% stake in PT Dendymarker Indahlestari for US$38m

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): BOUSTEAD HOLDINGS BHD [] is selling a 95% stake in PT Dendymarker Indahlestari to PT Agro Investama Gemilang (PTAIG) for US$38 million (RM119.53 million).

PT Dendymarker Indahlestari, which provides oil palm PLANTATION []s services, is based in Musi Rawas, Indonesia.

“The proposed disposal will benefit the Boustead group as the group intends to focus on its oil palm operations in Malaysia,” it said.

Boustead said on Jan 11, its unit Bounty Corp Sdn Bhd and Supriadi Zainal had signed a sale and purchase agreement with PTAIG to dispose of a combined 95% stake for the US$38 million.

Under the agreement, Bounty Corp would dispose of 712,576 shares or 94.7% and Supriadi the other 0.3% to PTAIG.

Bounty Corp and PTAIG also entered into a put and call option agreement for another 37,504 shares at an exercise price of US$2 million.



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KLCI falls further at mid-day break, sentiment stays weak

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): The FBM KLCI fell below the 1,520-point level on Monday as key regional markets retreated, spooked by Standard & Poor’s cut of the sovereign debt rating of nine of the euro zone's 17 countries.

At the mid-day break, the FBM KLCI fell 11.15 points to 1,511.92, weighed by losses at select blue chips including Genting, Petronas Dagangan and Genting PLANTATION []s.

Market breadth was negative with losers beating gainers by 486 to 141, while 256 counters traded unchanged.

The ringgit weakened 0.51% to 3.1481 versus the US dollar; crude palm oil futures fell RM23 per tonne to RM3,125, crude oil gained 18 cents per barrel to US$98.88 while gold slipped US$1.60 an ounce to US$1,637.40.

Asian markets fell as worries that European financial troubles would hurt the global economy and sap appetite for commodities weighed on industrial metals such as copper, while a shift to perceived safe haven assets boosted Japanese government bonds, according to Reuters.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.54% to 8,369.23, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 0.95% to 19,021.80, South Korea’s Kospi was down 1.56% to 1,846.43, Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 1.25% to 2,756.74, Taiwan’s Taiex fell 0.87% to 7,118.79 and the Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.56% to 2,231.98.

On Bursa Malaysia, Dutch Lady and BAT fell 52 sen each to RM25.26 and RM49.24, Genting down 24 sen to RM10.64, Milux 21 sen to RM1.23, Petronas Dagangan 20 sen to RM17.20, F&N 18 sen to RM18.72, Degem 16 sne to 90 sen, Parkson 15 sen to RM5.55, Genting Plantations 13 sen to RM8.98 while Mentiga fell 12.5 sen to 67 sen.

Compugates was the most actively traded counter with 114.1 million shares done. The stock added one sen to 8 sen.

Other actives included Asia Media, Ingenuity Solutions, RedTone, Digistar, Can-One, YTL Land, Hubline and Hovid.

Gainers included Can-One, Supermax, Far East, Tasek, Kian Joo, Eng Kah and Aeon.



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OSK Research: Pantech 3Q results expected to improve q-o-q

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): OSK Research says PANTECH GROUP HOLDINGS BHD []’s 3Q’s result is expected to improve quarter-on-quarter and will improve further in 4Q to meet the research house’s FY12 earnings forecast.

OSK Research in a note Monday said Pantech’s manufacturing division contribution was expected to achieve a healthy growth from the improvement of the stainless steel pipe making.

“We believe that the fluctuation of stainless steel prices is the reason causing Pantech’s stainless steel business arm to grow at a slower pace.

“Nonetheless, we maintain our Trading BUY recommendation with FV remained unchanged at 57 sen,” it said.



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Tenaga drops on RHB rating

Tenaga Nasional Bhd, Malaysia’s biggest power producer, dropped the most in more than a month in Kuala Lumpur trading after the stock was downgraded at RHB Capital Bhd on its recent share-price increase and expectations of a first-quarter loss.

Its shares declined 2.3 per cent to RM6.09 at 11:39 a.m. local time, set for their largest loss since Dec 7. -- Bloomberg



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Mitrajaya edges up on new contracts

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Shares of MITRAJAYA HOLDINGS BHD [] edged up on Monday after its unit secured two contracts worth a total RM33.41 million from Putrajaya Holdings Sdn Bhd for CONSTRUCTION [] jobs in Putrajaya.

At 11.45am, Mitrajaya gained one sen to 49.5 sen with 1.56 million shares done.

The company last Friday said that Pembinaan Mitrajaya Sdn Bhd had been awarded contracts to build houses and shop offices in Precints 11 and 8 in Putrajaya.

It said the first contract was to build 63 units of two storey terrace houses at Zone 10E, Precinct 11, Putrajaya for a contract sum of RM20.53 million.

It said the other contract was for the construction of 25 units of two storey shop office, 4 units three storey shop office and associated works at Precinct 8, Putrajaya for RM12.88 million.

Mitrajaya said both the contracts were to be completed within a period of 22 months from the date for possession of site.

“Both the contracts expected to contribute positively to Mitrajaya's future earnings,” it said.



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KL shares remain weak at midmorning

Share prices on Bursa Malaysia remained weak at midmorning today amid bearish sentiment in the global market on renewed worries over the euro zone debt crisis, dealers said.

At 10.45am, the underlying FBM KLCI declined 9.79 points or 0.64 per cent to 1,513.28 after opening 2.68 points lower at 1,520.39.

Trading was bearish with 399 losers and 115 losers while 219 counters traded unchanged.

Volume was 459.44 million shares valued at RM243.59 million.

A dealer said investors turned wary of risk after credit rating downgrades for nine euro zone economies including France, Italy and Spain.

On Bursa Malaysia, the Finance Index fell 83.22 points to 13,368.45, the Plantation Index dropped 56.14 points to 8,449.84 and the Industrial Index slid 14.85 points to 2,783.17.

The FBM Emas Index declined 70.04 points to 10,442.36, the FBM Mid 70 Index dwindled 91.53 points to 11,746.99 and the FBM ACE Index decreased 36.19 points to 4,264.28.

Among volume leaders, Compugates wsa up one sen to eight sen, Asia Media rose 5.5 sen to 35 sen and Digistar gained two sen to 48.5 sen.

Among heavyweights, Maybank slipped six sen to RM8.20, Sime Darby dipped five sen to RM9.10 and CIMB fell seven sen to RM7.20. -- BERNAMA



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KLCI falls; focus on Proton & DRB-Hicom’s announcements later today

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): The FBM KLCI extended its losses on Monday, in line with the fall at key regional markets after Standard & Poor’s cut nine of the euro zone's 17 countries, including top-notch France and Austria, and said it would decide shortly whether to downgrade the euro zone's bailout fund.

Amidst the retreating equity, all eyes would remain trained on developments around national carmaker PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [] and conglomerate DRB-HICOM BHD [] after they requested for a trading halt in their securities pending a material announcement.

The Edge Financial Daily, citing industry sources on Monday, had reported that DRB-Hicom was understood to have secured Khazanah's 42.7% stake in Proton, with only a few minor issues left to seal the deal.

At 10.20am, the FBM KLCI fell 9.99 points to 1,513.08.

Losers beat gainers by 346 to 120, while 205 counters traded unchanged. Volume was 400.11 million shares valued at RM202.11 million.

Asian shares fell on Monday on heightening worries that the mass sovereign debt rating cuts by Standard & Poor's would further aggravate euro zone funding difficulties and recapitalisation, threatening to derail progress in resolving the debt crisis, according to Reuters.

At the regional markets, Japan’s Nikkei 225 lost 1.49% to 8,373,04, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.04% to 19,004.10, South Korea’s Kospi was down 1.50% to 1,847.63, Taiwan’s Taiex lost 1.065 to 7,105.39, Singapore’s Straits Times Index fell 1.05% to 2,762.35 and the Shanghai Composite Index shed 0.79% to 2,226.92.

Maybank Investment Bank Bhd head of retail research and chief chartist Lee Cheng Hooi said the local market remained quiet in range-bound trading last week, adding that high volumes of between 1.51 billion to 1.91 billion shares were registered.

“Some position-squaring ahead of the weekend and the impending Chinese New Year holidays later this week caused a mild downward drift in the local bourse,” he said.

Among the major losers, Dutch Lady fell 54 sen to RM25.24, F&N 28 sen to RM18.62, Petronas Gas 18 sen to RM15.24, Genting and Bursa 14 sen each to RM10.74 and RM6.84, BHIC 13 sen to RM3.54, Top Glove, United PLANTATION []s and Tenaga down 10 sen each to RM5.11, RM19.90 and RM6.13, while Southern Acids lost eight sen to RM2.32.

Compugates was the most actively traded counter with 84.1 million shares done. The stock added one sen to 8 sen.

Other actives included Asia Media, Digistar, Hiap Teck, RedTone, Dutaland and Hovid.

Meanwhile, gainers included Malayan Flour Mills, Supermax, Aeon, Tasek, Can-One, Eng Kah, Kretam, Kian Joo and Asia Media.



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Press Metal climbs on RM3b investment

Press Metal Bhd, a Malaysian maker of aluminum products, climbed to the highest level in more than two months in Kuala Lumpur trading after Bernama reported that the company invested RM3 billion in its second smelting plant to increase total production capacity from September.

The stock gained 2.7 percent to RM1.90 at 9:18 a.m. local time, set for the highest close since Oct. 31. -- Bloomberg



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KLCI falls in early trade in line with regional markets on eurozone ratings downgrade

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): The FBM KLCI fell in early trade on Monday in line with regional markets that fell increasing worries that the mass sovereign debt rating cuts by Standard & Poor's would further aggravate euro zone funding difficulties and recapitalisation.

At 9.20am, the FBM KLCI lost 4.90 points to 1,518.17.

Losers led gainers by 144 to 110, while 162 counters traded unchanged. Volume was 180.6 million shares valued at RM60.89 million.

Among the early decliners were F&N, Bursa, BHIC, Jaya Tiasa, Petronas Chemicals, Genting, CBIP, Sime Darby and MRCB.

Meanwhile, PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [] and DRB-HICOM BHD [] in separate announcements on Monday said they had requested for a trading halt in their securities pending a material announcement.

Proton said it had requested for a one-day trading halt on Jan 16 pending an announcement of a material corporate transaction to be made by its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional Bhd.

Meanwhile DRB-Hicom, which said it would be “proposing a corporate exercise involving a very substantial transaction” also requested for a one-day trading halt on Monday.



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DRB-Hicom, Proton halt share trading

Malaysian carmaker Proton Holdings Bhd and automotive and property conglomerate DRB-Hicom Bhd said on Monday they suspended trading in their shares pending an announcement.

Proton said in a stock exchange filing that its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional Bhd would make an announcement of a material corporate transaction.

Separately, DRB-Hicom said it was planning a corporate exercise involving “a very substantial transaction.”

DRB-Hicom said last Monday it had submitted a bid for state investment arm Khazanah Nasional’s stake in Proton.

Local media had earlier quoted Proton adviser Tun Mahathir Mohamad as saying Khazanah Nasional would sell its stake in Proton to DRB-Hicom.

Khazanah held a 42.7 percent stake in Proton as at July 29 last year, according to Thomson Reuters data.

The Edge Financial Daily on Monday quoted unidentified industry sources as saying Proton’s shares could be priced above market expectations of about RM5.50 each, which would value Khazanah’s stake in the carmaker at RM1.28 billion.

Proton and Khazanah declined to comment on the report.

DRB-Hicom had no immediate comment.

Proton has struggled to grow its share in an increasingly competitive domestic market and had sought to tie up with a global car maker to boost sales.

The government had earlier been in discussions for Proton to form a partnership with several car makers including Volkswagen , but talks fell through.

Proton’s shares were last traded at RM5.18 before the suspension. DRB-Hicom last traded at RM2.17. -- Reuters



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Mitrajaya advances on building job

Mitrajaya Holdings Bhd, a Malaysian builder, gained the most in three months in Kuala Lumpur trading after securing RM33.4 million-of contracts to build houses and offices.

The stock advanced 4.1 percent to 50.5 sen at 9:03 a.m. local time, set for its steepest increase since Oct. 17. -- Bloomberg



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Frontken rises on Jorg Helmut stake buy

Frontken Corp, a Malaysian engineering group, rose the most in more than a month in Kuala Lumpur trading after Executive Chairman Wong Hua Choon sold a 5.9 percent stake to Jorg Helmut Hohnloser.

The stock gained 8.7 percent to 12.5 sen at 9:06 a.m. local time, set for the steepest increase since Dec. 5. -- Bloomberg



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Flash: Proton, DRB-Hicom request trading halt pending material announcement

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [] and DRB-HICOM BHD [] in separate announcements on Monday said they had requested for a trading halt in their securities pending a material announcement.

Proton said it had requested for a one-day trading halt on Jan 16 pending an announcement of a material corporate transaction to be made by its major shareholder Khazanah Nasional Bhd.

Meanwhile DRB-Hicom, which said it would be “proposing a corporate exercise involving a very substantial transaction” also requested for a one-day trading halt on Monday.

The Edge Financial Daily, citing industry sources on Monday, had reported that DRB-Hicom was understood to have secured Khazanah's 42.7% stake in Proton, with only a few minor issues left to seal the deal.

For more, read today’s The Edge Financial Daily.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on Press Metal at RM1.85

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on Press Metal at RM1.85 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 0.8 times.

It said on Monday that Press Metal broke out of its sideways consolidation on Friday. Prices also took out its 50-day SMA along the way.

“We believe this is a prelude to more upside ahead and prices are set to charge towards RM1.96 and RM2.09 in the near term. The 200-day SMA is also a magnet for prices,” it said.

CIMB Research said the technical landscape is improving. MACD has staged a positive crossover while RSI has begun to hook upward.

“Any pullback is an opportunity to accumulate. Always put a stop at between RM1.77-RM1.70 to limit downside exposure,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical sell on Nagamas at 70.5 sen

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): CIMB Equities Research has a technical sell on Nagamas International at 70.5 sen at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 2.1 times.

It said on Monday that Nagamas violated its wedge support few days ago. The bulls tried to make a comeback but it doubts prices can swing back above the 74 sen level any time soon.

“The deteriorating technical landscape suggests that selling pressure is picking up. MACD histogram bars are falling at a fast pace while RSI has also hooked downward.

“Sell on strength looks like a good option here, especially near the 72.5 sen to 74 sen resistances. Once the 200-day SMA (at 70 sen) is breached, expect prices to tumble towards 66.5 sen and 62.5 sen,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on IGB at RM2.63

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on IGB Corporation at RM2.63 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 1.2 times.

It said on Monday that IGB broke out of its triangle pattern on Friday.

“Looking at the chart, we think the recent consolidation is probably at its tail-end. If the candles can continue to hold on above the resistance-turned-support channel (now at RM2.57), the bulls would likely lift prices towards RM2.77 and RM2.92 next,” it said.

CIMB Research said the technical landscape remains conducive. MACD is hovering in the positive territory while RSI is above the 50pts mark. Moreover, the candles are trading above all its key moving averages.

“Risk takers may start to take some position here but always place a stop at below RM2.50. A crack below RM2.45 would imply that the stock is heading towards its 30-day and 50-day SMAs at RM2.34 and RM2.19 respectively,” it said.



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RHB Research lifts MBM Resources FV to RM3.90 from RM2.70

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): RHB Research Institute has lifted its fair value for MBM RESOURCES BHD [] to RM3.90 (from RM2.70).

It said on Monday that the new FV was derived from applying a 6.9 times (10% premium to its five-year median price-to-earnings ratio (PER) target PER to 2012 earnings from 5.0 times.

The research house said MBM had completed the takeover of Hirotako (97 sen a share and 5.0 sen a warrant in cash) on Jan 3, after securing 96% of the offer shares and intends to compulsorily acquire the remaining shares.

“The total acquisition price of RM412.5 million valued Hirotako at 11.3.0 times 2010 PER, 14.5 times estimated 2011 earnings and 2.1 times 2011 price-to-book.

“All in, we consider the acquisition to be relatively expensive, relative to the 2012 median sector PER of 8.5 times and 7.0 times target PER multiple ascribed to APM.

RHB Research said its 2011 earnings estimates were broadly unchanged. After consolidating Hirotako’s earnings, it raised the 2012 and 2013 estimates by 3.7% and 10.5% to RM135.3 million and RM155.8 million respectively.

“We view MBM’s relatively aggressive moves to expand its automotive component manufacturing presence positively and upgrade our call on the stock to Outperform (from underperform),” it said.



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RHB Research sees slight improvement for TNB in 1Q

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): RHB Research sees slight improvement in TENAGA NASIONAL BHD []’s performance in the first quarter of FY2012.

It said on Monday that continued gas shortage will likely result in another loss for TNB in 1QFY12, but slightly lower than 4QFY11.

RHB Research said that gas supplied improved marginally, but was still below 1,000 mmscfd in 1Q.

“Even if fuel cost sharing mechanism is applied post Oct 2011 (assuming gas supply normalises only in FY13), our scenario analysis suggests a proforma fair value of only RM6.90. There is still upside to TNB, albeit limited.

“Due to share price rally, we downgrade our call to Market Perform. Maintain fair value of RM6.15,” it said.



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HDBSVR: KLCI could test support of 1,515 on eurozone downgrade

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 16): Hwang DBS Vickers Research said the Euro Zone effects are expected to spread across Asia on Monday.

It expected the negative vibes from last Friday’s downgrade by Standard & Poor’s on the sovereign credit ratings for nine countries, including France, Italy and Spain, to weigh on the markets.

“The negative vibes will likely be felt on our local bourse too. From a technical perspective, the benchmark FBM KLCI could make its way to test the immediate support line of 1,515 ahead,” it said.

HDBSVR said hoping to buck the bearish sentiment are Proton and DRB-Hicom, after two local dailies said an announcement to sell Khazanah Nasional’s 42.7% stake – most probably to DRB-Hicom – may be made as early as Monday. The speculated takeover price is between RM5.50 and RM6.00 per Proton share;

Also in focus would be Digistar Corp, following a financial weekly report which wrote that the company is poised to clinch a RM500 million contract for the digitalisation of RTM; and MNC Wireless, amid a news article saying that it is set to break into the wireless broadband market in Sweden.



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