Friday, 9 March 2012

Qantas ends talks with MAS for Asian carrier

SYDNEY (March 9): Qantas Airways has called off talks with Malaysian Airlines to establish an Asian premium carrier because terms could not be agreed, a big setback to the Australian carrier's plans to turn around its ailing international operations.

Qantas had said it was in talks with Malaysian Airlines, budget carrier Air Asia and Singapore to set up the airline, but recent reports indicated talks had run into rough weather over capital investment and size of the stake.

Qantas chief Executive Alan Joyce, who has staked almost everything on the Asian move to turn around the international operations of Australia's top airline, reiterated in a statement the plan remained a priority.

Qantas said it "continued to explore opportunities in the region, including joint ventures and alliances.

"However, mindful of global economic uncertainty, and consistent with Qantas' focus on disciplined financial management, the group will allocate minimal capital to such ventures."

The plan for an Asian premium carrier was part of a five-year strategy to revive Qantas' international operations, which lose A$200 million ($212 million) annually. Unions have opposed the plan.

The turnaround strategy also includes restructuring the international network and raising the focus on Asia.

Last month, the airline said it would axe 500 jobs and cut capital spending by A$700 million over two years to protect profitability.

Last year, Qantas grounded its entire fleet for almost two days, seeking to bring long-running industrial action with a number of unions to a head through the intervention of the industrial labour umpire. Qantas has since settled with unions.

Qantas, one of the two global airlines still to boast an investment-grade rating, saw Moody's cut its credit rating dropped by a notch in late January, citing pressure from high fuel prices and difficult operating environment.

At 2348 GMT, Qantas shares were down 2.0 percent to A$1.69 in a broader market that was up 0.5 percent. – Reuters



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Markets gain on successful Greek bond swap

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): Asian equity markets rose on Friday on improved sentiment on the back of successful attempt by Greece to close the bond swap offer on Thursday.

The bond swap offer was to reduce its huge debt pile and averting a chaotic default that would pitch the euro zone into a fresh crisis, according to Reuters.

BIMB Securities Research in a note Friday said that news on Thursday that Greece had managed to garner almost 90% of its bondholders to swap for new securities filtered through the market thus the broad based gains.

Improved employment outlook in the US provided further positive vibes thus pushing the DJI Average 71 points higher to above the 12,900 mark, it said.

“With Eurozone’s outlook on a stabilisation path, major European bourses ended up mostly in positive territory. “Regionally, there were across the board buying momentum pushing almost all Asian markets up.

“The FBM KLCI made minor inroads with a modest 3.53 point gain to hang around the 1,580 level. We expect the index to see more upside judging by the net inflow of foreign funds into the market over the past two weeks amounting to almost RM1.3bn and may surpass the immediate resistance of 1,585,” it said.

On Bursa Malaysia, the FBM KLCI edged up 2.67 points to 1,581.03 ay 10am, lifted by gains at select blue chips.

Gainers led losers by 234 to 128, while 246 counters traded unchanged. Volume was 339.49 million shares valued at RM196.50 million.

At the regional markets, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.03% to 9,869.78, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index added 0.33% to 20,970.30, the Shanghai Composite Index added 0.43% to 2430.73, Taiwan’s Taiex gained 0.37% to 8,013.72, South Korea’s Kospi was up 0.40% to 2,008.72 and Singapore’s Straits Times Index added 0.07% to 2,972.44.

Among the gainers on Bursa Malaysia, BAT rose 38 sen to RM52.40, Deleum 17 sen, Petronas Gas 14 sen to RM16.92, KLK 12 sen to RM23.38, CIMB, Tenaga and Johore Tin nine sen each to 7.35, 6.35 and RM1.22 respectively, CAB 6.5 sen to 44 sen while Astral Asia and Padini added six sen each to RM1.29 and RM1.54.

Naim Indah Corp was the most actively traded counter with 36.1 million shares done. The stock gained one sen to 64 sen.

Other actives included Sumatec, CSL, SILK Holdings, Olympia, KeyWest and HWGB.

Decliners included Dutch Lady, Petronas Dagangan, Fat East, PPB, Lafarge Malayan Cement, Quality Concrete, Brahim's and Iretex.



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CIMB Research upgrades Tenaga from Hold to Trading Buy, TP

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): CIMB Equities Research is more positive about TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [] after its sector review as it will gain the most from reform initiatives.

The research house said on Friday a shift of the gas subsidy from Petronas to the government will lower the chances of future gas supply shocks and a power purchase agreement (PPA) extension could raise FY13 core EPS by up to 30%.

“We upgrade Tenaga from Hold to Trading Buy after raising our target price-to-book value from 1.1 times to 1.3 times, which is a 35% discount to its long-run historical average. This accounts for our more positive outlook.

“Our target price goes up from RM6.47 to RM7.65. As the September PPA deadline approaches, we expect a build-up of positive news,” it said.



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CIMB Equities Research has technical sell on CBIP at RM2.43

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): CIMB Equities Research has a technical sell on CB Industrial Product (CBIP) at RM2.43 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 1.9 times.

It said on Friday the stock violated its medium term uptrend channel as well as its 30-day SMA recently.

"We think that that the selldown is not over yet. Looking at the chart, we believe that the stock is heading towards its 50-day SMA (now at RM2.37) soon. The next support levels are RM2.30 and RM2.20,” it said.

CIMB Research said that indicators are showing signs of exhaustion. MACD signal line is heading south while RSI is below the 50pts mark.

“Sell into strength looks like a good option here, especially near the RM2.46-RM2.52 resistances. Put a buy stop at RM2.55, just in case,” it said.



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CIMB Equities Research has technical buy on Gamuda at RM3.66

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on GAMUDA BHD [] at RM3.66 at which it is trading at a FY13 price-to-earnings of 17.4 times and price-to-book value of 2.0 times.

It said on Friday the recent consolidation dragged prices towards its 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement levels. Since then, the bulls have made a comeback.

CIMB Research said as long as prices hold on steady above the RM3.54 low, there is a good chance that the candles may edge towards RM3.84 and RM3.94.

“Technical landscape is improving. MACD signal line is poised for a positive crossover while RSI has also hooked upward.

“Aggressive traders may start to take some position here. However, be quick to cut loss if the RM3.54 low is breached,” it said.



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CIMB Equities Research has technical buy on TH Plantations at RM2.87

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on TH PLANTATION []s at RM2.87 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 2.3 times.

It said on Friday the share price broke out of its ascending triangle pattern yesterday. If the candles can continue to hold on above the support-turned-resistance trend line at RM2.84, there is a high possibility that this uptrend may be extended. The next resistance levels are RM3.10 and RM3.25.

“Indicators are also in favour of the bulls. MACD signal line is hovering in the positive territory while RSI is above the 50pts mark.

“Traders may start to take some position here to ride on the breakout run. However, always put a stop at below RM2.78-2.68 to limit downside risk,” said CIMB Research.



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Affin upgrades Sarawak Plantation Bhd to ADD, fair value raised to RM3.18

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9) : Affin Investment Bank Bhd has revised upwards its fair value for Sarawak PLANTATION [] Bhd shares from RM2.67 to RM3.18 and upgraded its recommendation for the stock from Reduce to Add. The stock closed at RM3 on Thursday.

In a note on Friday, Affin said the upward revision is in tandem with the research house’s move to raise its net profit forecast for Sarawak Plantation by between 19.1% and 26.2% for FY12 to FY14 period. Affin said the higher earnings forecast is based on the company’s higher fresh fruit bunch (FFB) growth assumptions and cost of production of between RM1,500 and RM1,600 a tonne and crude palm oil average selling prices of RM3,000 a tonne during the three year period.

“Based on latest management guidance, FFB production growth is now projected at 23% in FY12 and 14% in FY13 compared to our assumption of 12% and 8%, espectively,” Affin said.

The research house also said Sarawak Plantation’s forecast dividend payout offers an attractive net dividend yield of 5.4%.



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Stocks to watch: Pantech, MISC, EngTek, Johore Tin, MAHB

KUALA LUMPUR (March 9): Malaysian stocks could take the cue from positive sentiment across global markets on Friday as investors pinned their hopes that Greece’s sovereign debt woes will be contained. Markets could also find support from the anticipation of better employment numbers in the US.

Private holders of Greek government bonds have until Thursday night (March 8) to voluntarily swap their bonds for new ones. The swap is vital to help Greece to obtain bailout funds, without which the country may default on its debt obligations this month.

Reuters reported that as of Wednesday, major banks and pension funds, accounting some 40% of Greece's outstanding bonds, has participated the in the swap, raising hopes that the country could avert a default. US policymakers are expected to announce on Friday, a rise of 210,000 jobs in the country’s non-farm payrolls. This could boost sentiment among Asian exporting nations.

Japan stole the limelight on Thursday when it announced that its gross domestic product contracted by an annualized 0.4%, less than the 2.3% contraction estimated earlier.

Key regional markets racked up gains of up to more than 2% on Thursday, as investors’ sentiment was boosted by hopes that Greece could avert a default and positive news on the US economy.

However, the FBM KLCI lagged the regional markets and managed to close up only 3.53 points or 0.22% to 1,578.36, after falling 15.08 points – the worst loss for this year – on Wednesday

Stocks to watch on Friday include PANTECH GROUP HOLDINGS BHD [], MISC BHD [], ENG TEKNOLOGI HOLDINGS BHD [], JOHORE TIN BHD [], and Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB)

Pantech, a pipes, fittings and flow controls solutions provider, has acquired the entire stake in UK-based Nautic Steels (Holdings) Ltd for GBP9.5 million or RM45.46 million. Pantech said on Thursday the acquisition will help the company expand its geographical presence and product range. Pantech shares rose 1.5 sen to close at 54 sen.

Moody's Investors Service had on Thursday downgraded credit ratings of MISC Bhd to Baa2 from Baa1. The outlook on the ratings remains negative. According to Moody’s, the downgrade reflects MISC’s weaker earnings amid excess capacity which could stifle the shipping firm’s profitability.

Moody’s is also mindful of MISC’s substantial capital needs requiring additional debt funding, which will lead to higher debt leverage and negative cash flow in the short to medium term. MISC shares closed five sen down to RM5.32

Meanwhile, founders and major shareholders of Eng Teknologi Holdings Bhd who are in the midst of privatising the hard disk drive component maker, say they are still in talks with financiers on the funding dynamics for the acquisition, and that the outcome could result in a lower offer price for the proposed takeover. Eng Teknologi finished at RM1.78, down one sen.

Meanwhile, OSK Research said Johore Tin shares are trading at attractive valuations with a low market capitalisation of RM75.6 million, hence, the possibility of the company being an acquisition target. OSK maintained its buy call for Johore Tin with a fair value of RM1.51. Johore Tin added six sen to RM1.14.

Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB) has fixed the price of its recently announced private placement of up to110 million new shares at RM5.60. This translates into gross proceeds of RM616 million, MAHB said MAHB shares declined three sen to RM5.62.



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