Wednesday, 7 March 2012

Maybank IB Research maintains buy on SapuraCrest

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): Maybank Investment Bank Research is maintaining a Buy on SAPURACREST PETROLEUM BHD [] at RM5.62 as it has upside potential.

It said on Wednesday the Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd (PCSB) contract charter for the T-9 rig is earnings- neutral to SapCrest, for the daily charter rate (DCR) is relatively similar its previous contract with EMEPMI albeit for a shorter duration.

“With two more rig contracts set to expire by 1H12, we expect minimal difficulties in seeking contract extensions at decent rates owing to the greater number of drilling programmes planned for the next two years. Our RM5.62 TP excludes contributions from its 49% stake in FPSO Berantai. Incorporating this would lift our TP to RM5.94,” said Maybank Research.



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HDBSVR sees investors taking profit after Wall St fall

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): HwangDBS Vickers Research said the overnight fall on Wall Street, where the key indices plunged between 1.4% and 1.6% at the closing bell, could provide the excuse of local investors to take profit on Wednesday.

Wall Street fell on fears that disagreements by some private bond holders might derail Greece’s debt-swap deal, which in turn could scuttle the bailout programme for the financially-ailing country.

“This will likely provide an excuse for investors to take profit on our local bourse today. Its benchmark FBM KLCI – after rebounding from an intra-day low of 1,580.51 yesterday – may test and break below the immediate support line of 1,580 ahead,” it said.

HDBSVR said that hoping to buck the weak market pattern on Wednesday are counters like: (a) Dijaya Corporation, which has proposed to acquire property assets privately owned by its major shareholder (for RM949 million) as well as to undertake a fund-raising exercise (comprising both rights issue and debt financing); (b) Tan Chong, after being appointed to be the contract assembler for Subaru passenger cars; and (c) SapuraCrest Petroleum, as it has been awarded an oil & gas contract worth RM162 million.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on Brahim’s Holdings at RM1.14

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on Brahim’s Holdings at RM1.14 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 2.3 times.

It said on Wednesday that Brahim’s Holdings broke out of its consolidation triangle pattern yesterday.

“We see this as a prelude to more upside ahead. If we are right, the next upswing will likely lift prices towards RM1.20 and RM1.30,” it said.

CIMB Research said the technical landscape was subdued, reflecting its earlier consolidation. Both MACD and RSI signal lines are turning flat.

“Aggressive traders may start to accumulate now. However, always place a stop at below RM1.07 to limit downside risk. A fall below RM1.03 would likely confirm that the uptrend from January is over,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical sell on RHB Capital at RM7.72

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): CIMB Equities Research has a technical sell on RHB Capital at RM7.72 at which it is trading at a FY13 price-to-earnings of 5.6 times and price-to-book value of 1.3 times.

It said on Wednesday the countertrend rebound reached the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement level, suggesting that the uptrend from its October 2011 low may have exhausted. Coincidently, the 38.2% FR level is also close to the 200-day SMA.

“Unless the candles push above the 200-day SMA (now at RM8.04), we anticipate selling pressure to pick up in days to come. The next downleg will drag prices towards RM7.35 and RM6.92.

“MACD signal line is poised for a negative crossover while RSI has also hooked downward. This shows that buying momentum is waning,” it said.



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CIMB Research expects strong project pipeline in construction margins

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): CIMB Research expects a strong project pipeline in the coming months and a gradual recovery in CONSTRUCTION [] margins.

In a note Wednesday, the research house said 4Q was seasonally a strong quarter for contractors but timing of jobs led to some underperformance in results.

“We expect a strong project pipeline in the coming months and a gradual recovery in construction margins.

“The results season also ended with optimism among contractors that project flows will intensify.

“This will be driven by the awards of the MRT SBK line and the potential award of the Gemas-JB double-tracking job. Maintain Trading Buy with IJM Corp and Gamuda as our top pick,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on Muhibbah at RM1.40

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on Muhibbah Engineering at RM1.40 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 1.0 times.

It said on Wednesday that the recent correction dragged prices towards its 30-day SMA but the bulls have since made a comeback.

“A short term base is formed at RM1.31, its recent swing low. This reflects a change in underlying tone from sell to buy,” it said.

CIMB Research said the indicators also show signs of improvement. MACD signal line is poised for a positive crossover while RSI is above the 50pts mark.

“As long as the RM1.31 level remains steady, any pullback is an opportunity to accumulate. Next resistance levels are RM1.53 and RM1.64. Always place a stop at below the RM1.30 level, just in case,” it said.



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OSK Retail Research: Accumulate Techfast, eyes 23.5 sen area

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): OSK Retail Research said TECHFAST HOLDINGS BHD []’s share price is heading towards the 200-week MAV line with strong volume, implying an obvious attempt at violating the declining moving average line.

It said on Wednesday that should the 200-week MAV line be violated, this will lead to a major breakout and therefore, it advises traders to accumulate its shares in anticipation of a breakout.

“We are eyeing the 23.5 sen to 24.5 sen area as the upside target. A cut-loss strategy should be considered if the share price retraces below the 200-week MAV line,” it said.



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Stocks to watch: SapuraCrest, Dijaya, HSL, Kimlun

KUALA LUMPUR (March 7): Stocks on Bursa Malaysia may slip on Wednesday in line with the cautious global and regional markets as worries about slower growth cast a pall of gloom over investors’ sentiment.

Key regional markets posted losses of between 0.63% and 2.16% as riskier assets bore the brunt of fears that the global growth outlook is darkening and that Greece may not be able to complete a major debt restructuring deal.

Reuters reported China's lowering of its economic growth target and data pointing to Europe possibly slipping back into recession have slowly eroded the optimism on global markets generated by the European Central Bank's huge injection of loans to banks since December.

On Bursa Malaysia, late buying helped the FBM KLCI extend its gains but whether it can be sustained on Wednesday remains to be seen due to external worries.

On Tuesday, the KLCI closed 0.69 of a point higher to 1,589.91. Turnover was 1.29 billion shares valued at RM1.73 billion. The broader market reflected the cautious sentiment, with 519 decliners to 257 advancers while 315 stocks were unchanged.

Among the stocks to watch on Wednesday are SAPURACREST PETROLEUM BHD [], DIJAYA CORPORATION BHD [], HOCK SENG LEE BHD [], Kimlun Corp Bhd and Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd (MAHB).

SapuraCrest Petroleum secured a US$54 million contract from Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd to provide a tender rig including a mobilisation fee.

The contract was for 12 months starting April 1 with an option to extend for another 12 months.

Dijaya resumes trading after a two-day suspension for a corporate exercise. Dijaya is acquiring 40 PROPERTIES [] owned by its single-largest shareholder Tan Sri Danny Tan for RM948.7 million.

The purchase will be funded with a cash portion of RM250 million and the balance via the issuance of redeemable convertible unsecured loan stock (RCULS), with a staggered conversion price range of RM1.30 to RM2.50 over a 10-year period.

Upon completion of the proposed amalgamation exercise, the land bank will increase to 870 acres and the gross development value will increase to RM37 billion.

Hock Seng Lee Bhd plans to undertake a mixed commercial and residential property project in Bandar Samariang, Kuching with an estimated gross development value of RM700 million.

Hock Seng Lee said the project would be on 275.5 acres of land which it was acquiring from Projek Bandar Samariang Sdn Bhd for RM25.54 million.

RHB Research Institute said it was less enthusiastic on CONSTRUCTION [] stocks as it believed their share price performance is likely to be muted over the next six to 12 months as the market begins to price in a higher risk premium for construction stocks ahead of the nation’s general election that will have to be held by March 2013.

However, the research house said Hock Seng Lee would be buoyed by: (1) Projects under Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE); (2) Sustained high margins given limited competition from only a small pool of Sarawak-based Unit Pendaftaran Kontraktor Negeri Sarawak (UPK) registered contractors for most public jobs in Sarawak; (3) An outstanding construction orderbook of RM1.1 billion; and (4) An added downside protection to its share price by virtue of a strong balance sheet with a net cash of RM183.7 million or 31.5sen a share as at Dec 31, 2011.

“Indicative fair value is RM1.90 based on 12 times FY12/12 EPS, in line with our one-year forward target PER for the construction sector of 10-14 times,” RHB Research.

Kimlun’s estimated outstanding book order has increased to about RM1.50 billion after it secured a RM68.29 million housing project in Johor Baru.

Its unit Kimlun Sdn Bhd had accepted a letter of award from UNITED MALAYAN LAND BHD []’s subsidiary Dynasty View Sdn Bhd to construct apartments and ancillary buildings in Johor Baru.

Meanwhile, MAHB’s franked dividend of up to 14.14 sen per ordinary share less income tax of 25% amounting to RM116.64 million will go ex on April 9 and the entitlement date is April 12.



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