Wednesday 16 November 2011

Maybank IB Research maintains Buy on Wah Seong Corp with a RM3.10 TP

KUALA LUMPUR (Nov 16): Maybank Investment Bank Research is maintaining its Buy call on Wah Seong Corp with a RM3.10 target price.

It said on Wednesday a weaker 3Q11 net profit (-19% QoQ) was due mainly to an RM11 million forex loss. This aside, 9M11 core net profit was within expectation (72% of our full-year forecasts).

“We maintain our forecasts. Overall, pipe-coating visibility remains strong. We see domestic projects dominating new orders over the next few quarters. WSC remains a Buy with a RM3.10 target price (14 times 2012 EPS),” it said.

It said the 3Q11 core net profit of RM32m (+17 % QoQ) took 9M11 core net profit to RM102 million (+230% YoY), in line with our forecasts. The underlying growth was driven by higher revenue (+18% QoQ) and an expanded EBIT margin (+0.7-ppt QoQ), driven primarily, we reckon, by its pipe-coating division (i.e. Gorgon and domestic jobs).

“We expect 2H performance to mirror 1H with the AP LNG (US$45 million) and Kebabangan (RM80 million to RM90 million) projects sustaining earnings visibility up to 2Q 2012.

Maybank IB Research said although WSC lost out on Wheatstone’s pipe-coating job, it expects domestic jobs (i.e. pipeline replacement & North Malay basin) and potentially Inpex’s Ichthys LNG project (measuring 885km of pipelines) to fill up capacity over the next few years.

“Our 2012-13 forecasts incorporate RM600 million p.a. of pipe-coating revenue, of which outstanding is about RM400 million, we estimate,” it said, adding that outstanding orderbook remains steady at RM1.2 billion as at September 2011.

“We see WSC as a proxy play to Petronas’ domestic development programmes, and worldwide gas, leveraging on Australia’s multiple LNG project sanctions.

“The stock now trades at sub-10 times one-year forward PER which is at one standard deviation below mean of 9.4 times, which we think, underscores its near-term job wins and earnings potential. On the corporate front, there is no new update on the proposed listing of Wasco, which has been deferred since August,” it said.



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