Monday, 27 February 2012

HDBSVR sees marginal positive bias for equities

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): Hwang DBS Vickers Research (HDBSVR) said in spite of a flattish Wall Street performance last Friday, the Malaysian stock market could show a marginal positive bias on Monday.

HDBSVR said the benchmark FBM KLCI may be eager to pull away further from the immediate support level of 1,555 ahead.

In terms of corporate developments, the focus will probably be on the slew of financial result announcements that were out last Friday evening.

On the positive side, Maxis rang up a pleasant surprise. But DRB-Hicom and Multi-Purpose Holdings posted below par earnings performances.

Meanwhile, investors could also be attracted by the following counters: (a) Litrak, after a business weekly reported that PLUS is eyeing to take over the highway assets of the toll concessionaire; and (b) MBM Resources, in response to a media report speculating that it is looking to expand into the auto assembly business.



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CIMB Research has technical sell on Aeon Co. at RM8

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): CIMB Research has technical sell on Aeon Co (M) at RM8 at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 2.3 times.

It said on Monday the breakout run from the triangle pattern in December is likely at its tail-end as the rally seems to be losing momentum. Prices could still push higher into the RM8.10-8.40 levels in the near term but the upside is likely capped.

“Technical weakness is starting to set in, calling for a more cautious approach. The potential upside compared to the downside risk is not favourable,” it said.

CIMB Research said it prefered to be more cautious and take some money off the table now, adding that the uptrend could be over if prices fall below RM7.68 and the next downside target is RM6.80-RM7.00.



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CIMB Research has technical sell on Hong Leong Bank at RM11.70

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): CIMB Equities Research has a technical sell on Hong Leong Bank at RM11.70 at FY13P/E of 11.3 times and price to book value of 2.2 times.

It said on Monday the rebound from its September low has taken prices back up to above its 62% Fibonacci retracement levels. Thursday’s bearish engulfing pattern could potentially be the top of this rebound rally.

“Coupled with the bearish divergence on both its MACD and RSI, there is a good chance that this rebound has ended. Even if there is still upside, it would likely be capped around RM12.00-12.30, where the latter is its 78.6% FR levels.

“The stock is a sell on further rallies with a buy stop placed above RM12.30. One should also sell if prices close below the uptrend channel support at RM11.10. The next possible stop would be RM10.22,” CIMB Research said.



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CIMB Research maintains trading buy on Gamuda, target price RM4.45

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): CIMB Equities Research is maintaining its trading buy recommendation on GAMUDA BHD [] at RM3.70 with a target price of RM4.45.

It said on Monday that PLUS Expressways Bhd is reportedly looking into taking over Gamuda’s Litrak, which would be good news for Gamuda if the price is right.

“Such a move would make sense but is unlikely to materialise soon. We retain our target price basis of 10% RNAV discount. A takeover move on Litrak would not have a big impact on RNAV but the proceeds could be used to bump up dividends.

“Maintain Trading Buy with project wins as catalysts. Gamuda remains one of our top sector picks,” CIMB Research said.



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CIMB Research maintains Underperform on Nestle, TP RM48.30

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): CIMB Equities Research is maintaining its Underperform call on Nestle Malaysia at RM55.20 with a target price of RM48.30.

It said on Monday that Nestle’s 4Q11 briefing revealed a surprise 5%-6% increase in Milo’s price.

“But we do not expect fatter margins from this as Nestle has to contend with higher raw material prices and a possible increase in advertising and promotion costs for its 100th anniversary.

“While we like Nestle’s defensive earnings and huge consumer base, its 27 times FY12 P/E is pricey. We reiterate our Underperform call (DCF-based target price), with the main potential derating catalyst being volatile commodity prices,” it said.



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CIMB Research retains Outperform on Petronas Dagangan at RM18

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 27): CIMB Equities Research is maintaining its Outperform call on Petronas Dagangan at RM18 and a target price of RM21.10.

It said on Monday a RM40 million special bonus for unionised non-executive staff is behind PetDag’s 8% earnings shortfall for the nine-month financial period ended Dec 31, 2011.

“We remain pumped over the retailer’s local and regional expansion plans,” it said.

CIMB Research said a third interim DPS and a special DPS totalling 50 sen took FY11 DPS to 80 sen.

“We continue to value PetDag at 17.6 times CY13 P/E, 40% premium over our target market P/E. The stock remains an Outperform and our big-cap oil & gas top pick,” it said.



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Stocks to watch: TM, Maxis, DRB-Hicom, SOP, MPHB

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 25): Oil and gas and PLANTATION []s stocks could remain in focus following the high oil prices, providing some support for the local stock market and there could be some dividend-driven investors’ interest in stocks like Telekom Malaysia and Maxis Bhd.

The FBM KLCI, which had trailed its regional peers, saw analysts divided on the outlook for the week ahead.

A senior analyst with a bank-backed research house said the Malaysian stock market was expected to trade sideways with downside bias in the week ahead as the local performance pales in comparison with the regional markets.

He did not see any big surprises in the current October-December quarterly corporate results.

Among the companies to announce their results are PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [], MALAYSIAN AIRLINE SYSTEM BHD [] and SIME DARBY BHD [].

However, the head of retail research at Affin Investment Bank Dr Nazri Khan was a tad more upbeat for the local market.

“Going forward next week, we believe FBMKLCI is likely to have an upside bias on local market relative strength (holding up well despite the volatile February results season),” he said.

He cited external factors such as strong Germany resilience following the painful Greece’s bail-out deal, strong US equities, improved commodities price (crude palm oil, soybean, wheat, corn, gold start to track equities) and rising risk appetite in the global forex market (strong gains in emerging market currency including ringgit).

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 had on Friday closed at the highest level since before the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, continuing a pattern of steady gains on signs of US economic recovery.

However, the continued high oil prices had also cast a pall of gloom over the flagging Euro zone economies with a recession seemed imminent for some weaker economies.

At Bursa Malaysia, Telekom Malaysia and Maxis Bhd would be among the top two stocks to watch on Monday after they announced dividends payouts last Friday while other stocks to watch include DRB-HICOM BHD [], SARAWAK OIL PALMS BHD [] and MULTI-PURPOSE HOLDINGS BHD [] (MPHB).

In a pleasant surprise, TM proposed a capital repayment to its shareholders of about RM1.073 billion or 30 sen per share and a final single tier dividend of 9.8 sen per share.

In terms of earnings, TM’s 49% increase to RM598.30 million in the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011 was largely due to the recognition of deferred tax income on unutilised tax incentives in the current year quarter.

Maxis declared a fourth interim single-tier tax exempt dividend of 8.0 sen per share and also proposed a final single-tier tax exempt dividend of 8.0 sen per share for FY11. Its earnings increased 47.5% to RM900 million in the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011 from RM610 million a year ago.

For FY11, it recorded 10% growth in net profit of RM2.527 billion versus RM2.295 billion in FY10. However, its revenue dipped to RM8.800 billion versus RM8.869 billion in FY10.

DRB-Hicom saw its earnings falling 27.6% for the third quarter ended Dec 31, 2011, to RM79.57 million from RM110.10 million as its automotive division was impacted by the severe floods in Thailand. Its revenue rose 5.6% to RM1.69 billion from RM1.60 billion a year ago.

Sarawak Oil Palms Bhd recorded a 60.35% increase in earnings to RM242.95 million in the financial year ended Dec 31, 2011 from RM151.51 million last year, boosted by higher sales and production of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel. It said FY11 revenue increased by 60.7% to RM1.17 billion from RM728.16 million a year ago.

MPHB’s earnings more than doubled jumped to RM260.14 million in the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011 (4Q2011) from RM85.21 million a year ago, boosted by an exceptional gain derived from the sale of PROPERTIES [] within the group. However, its revenue increased by 2.1% to RM913.91 million from RM894.45 million.



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Silverbird to face Bursa, SC

The company needs to explain delay in submission of audited statements

PETALING JAYA: It is a glaring anomaly when a listed company is late in producing its audited accounts.

Therefore, it will be no surprise to see senior executives of Silver Bird Group Bhd and representatives of its external auditors at the Bursa Malaysia and Securities Commission (SC) buildings this week following the company's announcement on Friday that it could not meet the Feb 29 deadline for the issuance of its audited financial statements for the year ended Oct 31, 2011.

“It's a given that we (the Silver Bird management and auditors Crowe Horwath) will have to engage with the authorities over the next few days to explain the circumstances behind the delay,” says a source close to the matter.

“They will surely provide Bursa Malaysia and the SC with more information than the explanation given in the Friday announcement to the exchange.

“The reason for failing to issue the outstanding financial statements within the relevant timeframe is due to the company needing more time to resolve audit queries raised by the auditors on Feb 22.”

Group managing director Datuk Jackson Tan Han Kook, declined to comment when contacted by StarBiz yesterday evening, saying he was in a meeting.

Silver Bird, which makes bread and confectionery, is required to issue its audited accounts within four months from its financial year-end. In the announcement, the company said it expected to issue the audited financial statements by May 31, adding that it was in the process of compiling the required details.

Under the listing rules, if Silver Bird fails to issue the audited accounts by March 7, trading in its securities will be suspended the day after.

Lembaga Tabung Haji is the company's largest shareholder, with 23.34%. Tan and Koperasi Permodalan Felda Malaysia Bhd are the other substantial shareholders, with 13.71% and 13.36% respectively.

According to its unaudited results for the fourth quarter ended October last year, Silver Bird recorded a profit of RM4.9mil for financial year 2011, a 35% jump from the previous year whereas revenue increased by only 3%.



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