Wednesday, 18 January 2012

HDBSVR sees KLCI heading towards 1,530

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): Hwang DBS Vickers Research said on the FBM KLCI could extend its rebound from Tuesday’s 10.3 point gain and climb towards the resistance level of 1,530.

The research house said this comes as Wall Street saw overnight gains. Major U.S. equity indices rose between 0.4% and 0.6% amid positive economic data and lower borrowing costs for Spanish bonds.

“In terms of share price actions on our local bourse, of interest will be: (a) Tenaga, as its latest quarterly results show the Group’s earnings is on the road to recovery following an earlier gas shortage problem; (b) BinaPuri, after clinching a toll concession agreement in Pakistan valued at RM864 million; and (c) Axiata, in response to news report saying that it is in talks to buy a stake in an Indian telco company,” it said.



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MIDF Research maintains Buy on Tenaga, TP RM6.60

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): MIDF Research has maintained its Buy rating on TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [] and target price of RM6.70 based on DCF using WACC of 8.8%.

In a note Wednesday, the research house said it was looking forward to a better 2H12 for Tenaga, with the Melaka regasification plant taking off in Jul’12.

“Another key rerating catalyst is the next tariff review, which is scheduled semiannually (but we expect to be postponed after the General Election), which should see the fuel cost pass through mechanism kicked in.

“We reiterate our Buy recommendation although the expected total return now is at 10.3% (which is below than 15% Buy definition).



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Maybank Research keeps Buy call on Tenaga, TP RM6.90

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): Maybank Investment Bank Research said on Wednesday that TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [] (TNB) received some well-deserved good luck which helped turn 1QFY12 operationally profitable.

It said TNG had received higher natural gas supply, and generated more power from its hydroelectric dams due to higher water levels courtesy of the monsoon rains.

Maybank Research also TNB had received RM1.0 billion of its cost-sharing payments and will likely receive the balance RM1.0 billion by the end of 2QFY12.

“Maintain Buy, with an unchanged target price of RM6.90 pegged to 13 times FY12 price-to-earnings ratio,” it said.



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OSK Retail Research has technical buy on YTL Power

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): OSK Retail Research said YTL Power International has been consolidating very well on the strong rebound recorded on the week of Oct 11, 2011.

The research house said it seems like the consolidation phase could create a new base for the stock. “Traders can accumulate the shares during the consolidation phase at prices ranging from the RM1.74 level to the RM1.93 level.

“As its share price has already retraced by about 40% from the RM2.76 peak seen in November 2010 to a low RM1.63 in October last year, a break above the consolidation zone may result in strong upward momentum ahead,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on E&O at RM1.52

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on Eastern & Oriental at RM1.52 at which at which it is trading at a FY13 price-to-earnings of 13.8 times and price-to-book value of 1.2 times.

“The stock broke out of its consolidation triangle pattern yesterday on strong volume, suggesting that buying interest has started to pick up. The rally also took out its previous swing high of RM1.48 along the way,” it said.

CIMB Research said there is a good chance that prices may re-rate towards RM1.60 and RM1.72 in the near term.

“However, investors should always adopt a stop loss strategy when buying into this stock, preferably at between RM1.48-RM1.44 depending on one’s risk appetite,” it said.

The research house said the indicators for E&O share price are improving. MACD signal line has staged a positive crossover while RSI has also hooked upward.



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CIMB Research has technical buy on Perisai at 77.5 sen

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on PERISAI PETROLEUM TEKNOLOGI [] at 77.5 sen at which it is trading at a FY13 price-to-earnings of 6.5 times and price-to-book value of 1.9 times.

“Perisai broke out of its bullish flag pattern yesterday. We think the stock is ripe for a stronger rebound. If prices can swing past its recent high of 80 sen soon, there is a good chance that prices may edge closer towards 84 sen and 88 sen,” it said on Wednesday.

CIMB Research said the technical reading is improving. MACD histogram bars are falling at a slower pace while RSI has hooked upward.

“Aggressive traders may start to nibble now. Always put a stop at below 74 sen to limit downside risk,” it said.



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CIMB Research has technical sell on China Ouhua Winery at 24.5 sen

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): CIMB Equities Research has a technical sell on China Ouhua Winery Holdings at 24.5 sen at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 0.6 times.

“China Ouhua Winery violated its wedge support yesterday. We think this is a prelude to more downside ahead. If this is indeed the beginning of its next downleg, prices should fall below 22.5 sen soon. The next downside targets are 21 sen and 19.5 sen,” it said on Wednesday.

CIMB Research said the technical landscape remains lethargic. MACD signal line is hovering in the negative territory while RSI has hooked downward.

“Sell on strength looks like a good option here as prices are trading below all its key moving averages. Near term gains are likely capped at 25.5 sen to 26 sen. Only a rise above its 50-day SMA would negate this bearish view,” it said.



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Stocks to watch: Tenaga, Proton, Bina Puri, Nextnation

KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 18): Stocks on Bursa Malaysia could see some positive upside on Wednesday, as sentiment is underpinned by firmer close on regional markets after the favourable GDP data growth in China.

Reuters reported that the slightly better economic news from China and Germany countered concerns over Europe's debt crisis on Tuesday, lifting European shares and the single currency, but Greek default fears and a looming debt sale by Spain held gains in check.

The latest survey of German economic sentiment, conducted by the ZEW think tank, posted its biggest ever monthly rise in January, easing fears of a recession in Europe's largest economy.

Among the stocks to watch on Wednesday include TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [], PROTON HOLDINGS BHD [], BINA PURI HOLDINGS BHD [] and NEXTNATION COMMUNICATION BHD [].

Hard disk drive manufacturers could see trading interest again after Western Digital Corp expected its two factories in Thailand to return to pre-flood production levels by September after the planned resumption of operations at its Navanakorn plant in March.

Western Digital, hit hard by the floods, resumed production at its Bang Pa-in plant in central Ayutthaya on Nov. 30 and its objective is to bring back its capacity to rapidly support its customers.

Reuters quoted Western Digital president and CEO John Coyne said the impact of the floods had reduced its output by 30%.

Tenaga Nasional Bhd expects to return to black in the second quarter ending Feb 2012, boosted by the RM2 billion received from Petroliam Nasional Bhd and the government under the fuel cost-sharing mechanism.

It posted a net loss of RM224.70 million for the first quarter ended Nov 30, 2011 compared to net profit RM716.50 million a year earlier. The losses were due mainly to 29.5% increase in operating expenses due to continued use of oil and distillate as alternative fuel to generate electricity.

Meanwhile, a day after DRB-HICOM BHD [] emerged as the successful bidder for Khazanah Nasional Bhd’s 42.7% stake in Proton Holdings Bhd, DRB-Hicom was actively buying up the shares from the open market.

DRB-Hicom bought 39.927 million Proton shares or 7.27% stake via open market at prices ranging from RM5.40 to RM5.47 per share.

Bina Puri Holdings Bhd’s Pakistan subsidiary has inked a concession agreement with the National Highway Authority of that country to build a 136km-long motorway under a build-transfer-operate concept for a contract value of RM864 million .

It said on Tuesday that its subsidiary, Bina Puri Pakistan (Private) Ltd had signed the 28-year concession agreement for the conversion of the existing four-lane Karachi-Hyderabad superhighway into a six-lane motorway.

Bina Puri said the CONSTRUCTION [] cost amounted to RM644 million and that the construction, upgrading and rehabilitation of the motorway is to be completed over 30 months, adding that it expected the groundbreaking to be sometime in March 2012.

Nextnation Communication Bhd expects cumulative profit of about US$7 million over the initial period of three years from its IT infrastructure project with Indonesia’s PT Inovisi Infracom, Tbk.

IOI CORPORATION BHD []’s subsidiary Multi Wealth (Singapore) Pte Ltd has won the tender bid for a parcel of land in the island republic for S$408 million (RM995.50 million).

AXIS Real Estate Investment Trust (Axis REIT) has targeted to increase its total assets portfolio from RM1.28 billion at end-2011 to RM2 billion by 2013. In the immediate term, it expects its portfolio increase to about RM1.4 billion once it completes two property acquisitions at the end of this month.

Axis REIT has identified PROPERTIES [] worth RM545.3 million for possible acquisitions and is conducting due diligence on a number of them.



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