Friday, 23 December 2011

Proton sale will involve a general offer

KUALA LUMPUR: The sale of Proton Holdings Bhd would be subjected to a general offer as Khazanah Nasional Bhd is looking at selling its entire 42.7% equity stake in the national carmaker.

Khazanah managing director Tan Sri Azman Mokhtar said in written replies to The Edge weekly that they have been receiving offers for various forms of collaboration, including acquiring its controlling stake in Proton but have not arrived at any decision to sell to any particular offeror.

He said Khazanah would have to take into account how the divestment would help upgrade the national car manufacturer and also the domestic automotive industry as Proton was an integral part of the national industrial policy.

“For minority shareholders, we can confirm that Khazanah views any sale to be done on the full 42.7% of its stake and that would mean that it would therefore, under the takeover code, be subjected to a general offer,” he said.

In written replies to a special focus on public private partnerships featured in The Edge weekly’s year-end issue, Azman touched on reasons why Khazanah was disposing its stake in Proton.

The national car manufacturer has been in the news of late as it was reported that several parties were eyeing Khazanah’s stake. Among the more serious bidders are DRB-Hicom Bhd and the Naza group.

Azman has confirmed that the sale of Khazanah's 42.7% stake in national carmarker Proton would, under the takeover code, be subjected to a general offer.


It has also been reported that Sime Darby Bhd’s automotive division and US-based General Motors may also be interested in Proton.

However, it is learnt that the bidders, especially the local automotive groups, are not keen on undertaking a general offer for the rest of the shares in Proton as it would strain their financial resources.

An official close to one of the local bidders said that if the takeover of Proton involved a general offer, then the offeror might not have enough resources to inject more capital to revive Proton.

“Proton needs cash to develop new models. If the takeover involves a general offer, it will be difficult for the offeror to develop Proton,” said an official.

At RM4.46 per share, Proton has a market capitalisation of RM2.45 billion. However Proton’s net asset per share is RM9.81 as at Nov 29, 2011, indicating that the company has a lot of assets. Among the prime assets in Proton is its land where the Shah Alam plant is currently located.

One way to unlock value is to shift the Shah Alam plant to Tanjong Malim where Proton has built a huge manufacturing plant that is under-utilised. In fact in 2007, Sime Darby had expressed interest to take over Proton mainly to capitalise on its land bank that is next to its successful township in Subang Jaya.

Apart from Proton, Azman also talked about why Khazanah went into a share swap with the Tune Air group, in which it ended up with a 10% equity stake in AirAsia. In return, Tune Air has a 20.1% stake in MAS.

The deal has come under fire from critics who questioned why Khazanah went into the share swap exercise at the time when the share price of MAS was weak while AirAsia was flying high.

Azman had said that Khazanah did extensive due diligence and any proper analysis would show that the swap was done at proper valuations and prices. He said that most analysts had a buy call on AirAsia and sell call on MAS.

“Even so, the correct or rather complete way to view the swap in financial terms is actually to anticipate what would be the value of holdings had we not done such a swap,” he said.

He said that it was clear the situation in MAS was rapidly deteriorating and additional efforts were needed to reverse the situation.

“But overall, yes, we do agree that we and especially MAS have a lot on our plate to ensure that we execute and communicate this well. The year 2012 will be critical,” he said.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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Time to shorten disclosure time frame?

In the past few months, Bursa Malaysia has seen some interesting shareholding changes in some penny stock companies.

Companies such as Envair Holdings Bhd, Sanichi Technology Bhd and DVM Technology Bhd have seen quick enter-and-exit shareholders. The three are listed on the ACE Market whose market capitalisations are below RM50 million.

The roller coaster rides of the share prices that coincide with substantial shareholding changes raise the question whether the existing time frame for disclosures on changes in substantial holdings should be tightened further.

According to the Companies Act 1965, substantial shareholders need to notify the listed company within seven days of the shareholding transaction. This also applies to emerging and ceasing substantial shareholders.

Under Bursa Malaysia’s ACE Market Listing Requirements, the listed companies are required to make an immediate announcement to the stock exchange upon receipt of notifications from substantial shareholders.

But, is seven days too long considering the significant impact insider moves could have on share price movement?

This is because while these new substantial shareholders had immediately notified the companies of their emerging substantial stakes, it took some of them awhile to notify the companies when paring down their stakes.

Take Envair Holding Bhd for example.

Carpet Raya Sdn Bhd director Deepak Jaikishan emerged as a substantial shareholder in Enviar on Dec 2 with a stake of 5.06%. He then sold the entire stake less than two weeks later on Dec 14.

The announcement of Deepak becoming a substantial shareholder was made to the stock exchange on the very same day he acquired the shares. However, the announcement of his exit was made seven days later, although that was within the regulated time frame.

Before Deepak’s entry and exit, the Envair also saw the entry and exit of two Chinese nationals.




On Nov 1, Chinese national Jiang Chuan Yi emerged as a substantial shareholder when he bought a 6.75% stake in a direct deal on Nov 1. He then sold the same stake on Nov 23, and announced to the exchange on the same day. Envair rallied 277% to 41.5 sen on Nov 1 from 11 sen a month earlier.

It had pared down since to close at 32 sen yesterday. Prior to that, Envair was trading quietly between eight sen and 14.5 sen.

Last month, Envair announced that it was entering the oil and gas business by supplying two million barrels of light crude oil monthly to a Chinese company for a five-year duration.

Another Chinese national, Zhang LiYing bought 10.8 million Envair shares or a 9.11% stake in a direct deal on Oct 13 but it was only notified on Nov 2.

Zhang then sold off the 10.8 million shares on Dec 14 on the open market, and notified Bursa Malaysia on Dec 16. It is not known if Jiang and Zhang are linked to the Chinese company.

Another company that saw quick entry-and-exit shareholding changes is Sanichi.

On Aug 3, Mohd Wira Abdul Daim, the son of former finance minister Tun Daim Zainuddin, emerged as a substantial shareholder in Sanichi after he bought a 6.12% equity stake.

The transaction was immediately notified to Sanichi and Bursa Malaysia on the same day the shares were bought. Wira only held the stake for two days before he sold all 10 million shares on Aug 5. However, the notification was only filed with Bursa Malaysia six days later on Aug 11.

Sanichi rose to an earlier 15-month high of 10.5 sen on the next day after the announcement that Mohd Wira bought into the company. Prior to that, Sanichi was only trading in the range of 3.5 sen and six sen.

Trading of Sanichi shares were halted on Aug 4 at 4.05 pm due to an announcement that a Germany firm Projektarbelt Technische Beratung Venretung International (Protev) is commencing due-diligence process on the company.

Sanichi and Protev had earlier signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to form an alliance to set up a one-stop plastic injection mould fabrication solution centre. After Mohd Wira’s entry-and-exit, Sanichi’s shares slumped back to as low as four sen on Aug 29, down 62% from the peak of 10.5 sen.

Its shares later saw another spike that could be linked to an agreement with an Indonesian company to market and distribute three million metric tonnes of coal annually in China.

Sanichi had triggered two unusual market activity (UMA) queries from Bursa Malaysia — on Nov 8 and Dec 12. Sanichi closed at 13 sen yesterday.

Until today, it is not known why Mohd Wira had emerged as substantial shareholder in Sanichi for barely three days.

Meanwhile, DVM Tech also saw a quick entry-and-exit shareholder.

On Aug 2, Raymond Yip Wai Man bought 12.98 million shares or a 7.4% stake on the open market in DVM Tech. He then bought another 1.43 million and 3.95 million shares in two separate open market transactions on Aug 4 and 12 respectively, bumping his stake to 10.43%.

However, he ceased to be a substantial shareholder when he disposed 9.8 million shares on Aug 15. The disposal was only filed on Aug 18 while the acquisitions were filed on the days they were purchased.

On Aug 2, Danish citizen Christian Kwok-Leun Yan Heilesen bought 12.05 million DVM Tech shares, or a 6.85% stake on the open market. DVM Tech had closed at 25 sen that day. The transaction was notified to the company and Bursa Malaysia on Aug 4.

On Aug 12, he acquired an additional 4.6 million shares, bumping his shareholding to 9.46%. The notice was filed on the same day.

On Aug 15, Heilesen ceased to be a substantial shareholder when he sold 8.35 million shares. DVM Tech closed at 15 sen on Aug 15. The notice was only filed with Bursa Malaysia three days later.

DVM Tech saw its share price surge 233% to 25 sen on Aug 2, from 7.5 sen a month earlier. It had since fallen to close at 8.5 sen yesterday.

What is interesting about these three companies is that they have seen their share price increase prior to the emergence of the shareholders, and then on a declining trend after that.

In some instances, the substantial shareholders had taken some time (although all within the seven days time frame) before notifying their shareholding changes to the companies.

As such, there could be instances where retail investors bought shares in a company due to the entry of new shareholders, only to see the same shareholders exit the company at the same time.

While it is not known why these shareholders had quickly entered and exited these companies, perhaps it is time for regulators to consider shortening the disclosure period from seven days.

This is in line with how fast information is disseminated these days via the Internet and mobile services, and how efficient and sensitive markets are to news.

After all, the present seven-day disclosure rule was shortened from 14 days earlier. With current technology and reduced dependence on snail mail, perhaps a shorter period is now warranted?

A shorter period would be good to prevent any instances of speculation due to the emergence of new shareholders.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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Deepak exits Envair

KUALA LUMPUR: According to a Bursa Malaysia announcement on Wednesday, Deepak Jaikishan had sold off his six million shares or a 5.06% stake in ACE-market listed Envair Holdings Bhd in the open market on Dec 14.

Envair’s share price has collapsed by a total of 25.35% in two days, closing at 26.5 sen yesterday since the news of Deepak’s divestment was made public on Wednesday. The stock has slumped 36.1% since hitting a peak of 41.5 sen on Dec 19.

The news contradicts a press release purportedly issued by Deepak on Dec 6 that claimed he had no intention of selling down his stake and was in fact looking to steadily increase his holdings in the coming weeks to 10% from his current 5.06%.

To recap, Deepak, Carpet Raya Sdn Bhd’s director, had emerged as a substantial shareholder of Envair on Dec 2 with a stake of 5.06% or six million shares at 22 sen.

Four days later, a letter purportedly from Deepak was sent to several newspapers with a press release claiming Deepak was looking to increase his stake in Envair to 10%.

Another national daily carried the contents of the letter on the front page of its business section the following day.

The Edge Financial Daily did not carry the contents, but responded on Dec 8, highlighting the unusual circumstances of the press release, which did not carry a letterhead, address or signature.

Whatever the case may be, Deepak’s sudden departure from Envair left him none the poorer.

The Edge Financial Daily estimates that Deepak’s one-and-a-half week venture could have netted him a gain of about 65% on his initial investment of RM1.32 million.

In the announcement on Wednesday to Bursa Malaysia, no price was stated for the shares, which were sold on the open market on Dec 14.

On that day, Envair’s shares were traded between 34.5 sen and 38 sen, with 62.55 million shares changing hands.

Based on the average intraday price of around 36.3 sen, Deepak could have made around 14.3 sen a share or about RM858,000.

Envair closed 10.9% higher at 35.5 sen on Dec 14 compared with 32 sen the previous day.

It continued to climb for three days to an intra-day high of 41.5 sen last Friday and Monday, before falling for the last four days.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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Boustead expects record profit for FY11

KUALA LUMPUR: Boustead Holdings Bhd expects its highest profit this year as earnings are backed by strong crude palm oil (CPO) prices.

“We are looking at a record profit for this year,” said deputy chairman and group managing director Tan Sri Lodin Wok Kamaruddin after the company EGM yesterday.

He said palm oil contributes about 40% of the company’s bottom line earnings.

Lodin added that CPO prices had remained strong in the past few years though they recently moderated to a level below RM3,000 per tonne.

For the nine months ended Sept 30, Boustead’s plantation segment contributed 12.6% or RM754.1 million of the company’s total revenue.

This was an improvement of 26% year-on-year for the segment as the average CPO price rose 33% to RM3,350 from RM2,514 per tonne a year ago.

For the 9MFY11, net profit rose 27.3% to RM418.3 million from RM328.6 million a year ago, while revenue increased 33.6% to RM6 billion from RM4.49 billion.

Boustead achieved its best performance in FY08 with net profit and revenue at RM579 million and RM7.03 billion respectively.

Lodin says presently Boustead has no intention to take BHIC private.


The company will spend a third of its RM1.4 billion capital expenditure next year on its plantation segment. It will also spend about RM32 million to expand its pharmaceutical segment, which is expected to contribute up to 15% in the next two to three years following the 10% expected in 2012.

Although a relatively recent addition to Boustead, the pharmaceutical division, now in its inaugural nine months, is a major contributor to the group’s top line growth.

The company is present in six key areas, which are plantation, heavy industries, property, finance and investment, trading and manufacturing, and pharmaceutical.

For its third quarter ended Sept 30, Boustead’s net profit increased 31.6% to RM120.9 million from RM91.9 million in the previous corresponding quarter mainly due to higher sales volume and firmer palm product prices. Revenue rose 44.6% to RM2.19 billion from RM1.51 billion a year ago.

On a separate note, Boustead once again refuted a news report that it was proposing to take its 65%-unit Boustead Heavy Industries Corp Bhd (BHIC) private.

“As we have announced before, we have no intention presently to take BHIC private,” said Lodin.

It was previously reported by a local media that Boustead was considering taking BHIC private, as earnings from a RM9 billion project from the ministry of defence were expected to come earlier.

To recap, BHIC’s associate Boustead Naval Shipyard was awarded a contract with a ceiling amount of RM9 billion to design and construct six combat ships for the defence ministry.

“We would like to clarify that Boustead is currently not considering any proposal to privatise BHIC,” the company had earlier said to Bursa Malaysia.

Boustead is the largest shareholder of BHIC, followed by Lembaga Tabung Angkatan Tentera (LTAT) with a 8.15% stake.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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Muhibbah Australian JV secures RM1.05b contract

KUALA LUMPUR: Muhibbah Engineering (M) Bhd has announced that its 50:50 joint venture with Australia’s Monadelphous Group Ltd has won a A$330 million (RM1.06 billion) contract for the construction of an approach jetty and ship berth in Queensland, Australia.

The facilities will be constructed for a project by Wiggins Island Coal Export Terminal Pty Ltd (Wicet), which is privately owned and funded by a group of Queensland coal exporters.

“This marks another new era for Muhibbah group’s expansion of marine-related business into advanced countries such as Australia,” the company said in an announcement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday.

The contract, which involves the first stage of the project by Wicet, was awarded to the Monadelphous Muhibbah Marine JV.

“The joint venture brings together Muhibbah’s global expertise in the delivery of marine and port construction works and Monadelphous’ expertise in the civil construction of large-scale projects for Australian resources customers,” it said.

The JV will start work on the project immediately and to be completed by the first quarter of 2014.

The contract involves the construction of an offshore plant and infrastructure comprising a 1.8km approach jetty and transfer tower platform, wharf, wharf conveyor, berthing and mooring dolphins, ship access platforms, jetty conveyor and transfer tower. It will increase the company’s order book to RM3.84 billion from RM2.79 billion recorded as at Nov 18, which comprised RM1.98 billion from its infrastructure construction division, RM609 million from the crane division and RM200 million from shipyard.

Wicet aims to build the export facility to meet global demand for thermal and metallurgical coal.

Stage one of the project carries an annual coal export capacity of 27 million tonnes, which will grow to 80 million tonnes once the terminal is fully developed.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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Perisai to see earnings from Garuda Energy in FY12

KUALA LUMPUR: Perisai Petroleum Teknologi Bhd will see earnings contribution from its investment in Garuda Energy (L) Inc next year for its FY12.

The acquisition will be finalised by year-end, and everything should be finalised in the next 10 days, said Perisai managing director Izzet Ishak after the company’s EGM yesterday.

“In the circular to shareholders we stated that there is a profit after tax guarantee of approximately US$16.67 million (RM53 million), and we expect to see the full impact from this acquisition by FY12,” he added.

He added that the acquisition comes with an annual profit after tax (PAT) guarantee of US$16.67 million for the first two years of its operation as an asset belonging to Perisai.

Izzet noted over the duration of the fixed two years of the deployment, the mobile offshore production unit (Mopu) is expected to contribute approximately US$50 million to Perisai’s turnover.

The acquisition of Garuda Energy for US$70 million allowed the group to tap into its Mopu which is valued between US$105 million to US$110 million.

Currently, the Mopu is contracted to work off the coast of Terengganu, for a fixed duration of two years at a charter rate of US$70,800 a day, noted Perisai in its press statement.

Perisai held an EGM yesterday to seek shareholders’ approval on the proposed acquisition of 100% equity interest in Garuda Energy from Nagendran Nadarajah and the proposed acquisition of the fuel and gas conditioning system and oil and gas (O&G) separation system by Garuda Energy from Hummingbird Energy (L) Inc for a purchase consideration of US$3 million. Majority of the shareholders voted to pass the proposals.

The US$70 million purchase price of Garuda Energy will be satisfied with US$50 million payable in cash, with the remaining US$20 million to be satisfied by the issuance of 97 million shares of Perisai at a valuation of 65 sen each to the vendor, Nagendran.

It was worth noting that back in 2009, Nagendran was a substantial shareholder of Perisai with almost 9% of shareholdings and was also the group’s managing director, before ceasing to become a substantial shareholder in April 2010.

Now with the issuance of 97 million Perisai shares to Nagendran, he will become the second largest shareholder with 12.87% stake in the group after HCM Logistics Ltd with 17.5% shareholdings.

“It was a vote of confidence from the vendor that he wanted to be a part of the group’s growth story,” said Izzet.

On the industry’s outlook next year, Izzet commented that it will remain exciting as the government via Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) and other O&G companies are finding more oil fields especially in the deep water and marginal oil fields of which will continue to sustain demand for O&G services.

“The oil and gas industry is very much an international industry, which means we can operate almost anywhere in the world. At the moment we are only operating on Malaysian waters but we are interested to look outside of Malaysia, especially in the Asia-Pacific region,” said Izzet.

However, he said that the group doesn’t have any plan to move into the downstream sector of the O&G industry, citing that there are companies of different sizes and specialties, and at the moment Perisai’s niche is in the upstream sector with the deployment of its Mopu.

Aside from Perisai, Izzet said there are only two other companies operating Mopu in Malaysian O&G industry.

For the nine-month period ended Sept 30, Perisai made a RM10 million net profit compared with RM3.3 million in the same period last year. Revenue was down marginally to RM54.5 million from last year’s RM55 million.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.



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2012 CEO Outlook Series - HLBB banks on disciplined expansion

TEFD: What are your expectations for 2012, for your bank and the industry?
Chia: With the turmoil in Europe, the market is increasingly cautious. Growth will be somewhat muted in this region. With that, Malaysia’s exports will invariably moderate, especially as China slows down as well. Increasingly there will be heightened regulatory standards on personal borrowings and a focus on responsible financing. Clarity and simplicity will be the emphasis for banks moving forward. At Hong Leong Bank, I want to ensure continuous dialogue with our customers and communities in which we operate, providing advice and superior service, and maintaining the consistency in our relationship with the people in the business.

What impact, if any, do you expect from the euro crisis?
With the euro crisis, US dollar liquidity is getting tighter. Malaysia’s exports to Europe is about 12% of our total exports. Exporters in Malaysia should be vigilant with the European counter-party risks, settlement risks and tight cash flows in the eurozone.

Will Bank Negara Malaysia’s recent tightening of consumer borrowings have an impact?
Over the last decade, banks have been increasing lending to customers, and as a result, per capita debt has escalated. That is expected — as economic wealth increases, individual borrowings are also augmented to enjoy better standards of living. Over the last few years, excess liquidity and fund flows into the region, combined with the low interest rate environment have brought down the pricing of debt to very low levels. As a result, the price of real estate has increased. However, sentiment has turned cautious in the region coupled with the ongoing European debt crisis. China’s real estate is also slowing and the recent Singapore tightening measures reflect the cautious stance of the regulators. I think the overall mood is cautiously opportunistic for long-term players and the speculators, they will slow down.

Chia says clarity and simplicity will be the emphasis for banks moving forward.


What is your banking group’s plans and focus for the coming year?
Optimising efficiency and risk reward dynamics will be high on the agenda. And with the excess liquidity in the system, wealth management products and offerings will be important. Sound underwriting and disciplined expansion are key focus. With a tight nexus between stability, growth and value creation, our role in wealth creation, and generating optimal growth continues to be important.

What is your wish list for 2012?
For more responsible and bold leadership globally — to do the right things, to avoid catastrophes for the global financial markets. Also, a commitment to long-term positioning of the global banking system to sustain growth from the US and Europe to Asia.


The 2012 CEO Outlook series started on Dec 19 and will run every day into January next year. The Edge Financial Daily has so far interviewed Geoffrey Briscoe of BMW Malaysia, Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow of Public Bank Bhd, Jeffrey Chew of OCBC Bank (M) Bhd and Osman Morad of Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Bhd. If you’ve missed them, please read our back issues on iPad for free.


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.




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Jaya Tiasa profit broadly in line with expectations

Jaya Tiasa Holdings Bhd (Dec 22, RM6.81)
Maintain “buy” at RM6.99 with target price of RM9.30; Jaya Tiasa recorded a 1H12 net profit of RM97.1 million (+84.8% year-on-year [y-o-y]) on a 32.2% growth in revenue of RM499.5 million. Net profit is broadly in line with our expectations, accounting for 56% and 57% of our and consensus full-year FY12 forecasts. Earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) margin improved to 29.3% (versus 20.3% from 1H11), largely underpinned by: 1) higher log average selling price (ASP) (about +21% y-o-y) coupled with increases in log production volume to 493,251m3 (about +9% y-o-y), 2) higher ASPs for fresh fruit bunch (FFB) (about +17% y-o-y) supported by growth in FFB production and sales volume by +17% y-o-y and +45% y-o-y respectively; and 3) +80% growth y-o-y in CPO sales volume coupled with higher CPO ASPs (about +23% y-o-y). We believe that the improvement in the production of logs and FFB output was a result of better weather conditions compared with 1HFY04/11.

On a sequential basis, Jaya Tiasa reported a slowdown in revenue to RM239.5 million (-7.9% quarter-on-quarter [q-o-q]; +24.6% y-o-y) and this trickled down to its bottom line to RM41.2 million (-26.4% q-o-q; +36.8% y-o-y). This is largely due to: 1) lower log ASPs (about -11% q-o-q) coupled with lower log production output to 240,252 cu m (about -5% q-o-q; +2.0% y-o-y), 2) decline in plywood ASPs (-7% q-o-q; +31.0% y-o-y); and 3) a fall in average FFB price by 10% q-o-q. We are not entirely worried of the slippage within the timber segment as we expect demand for plywood to pick up in 1QCY12 via reconstruction efforts in Japan. Nevertheless, the group’s oil palm segment remains as Jaya Tiasa’s largest earnings contributor, up to 63% of 1HFY04/12 profit before tax. No interim dividend was declared for the current quarter.


In a separate announcement, Jaya Tiasa has declared a change in financial year-end from April 30 to June 30. Therefore, the subsequent full-year results will comprise 14 months from May 1, 2011 to June 30, 2012. We will reflect the new full year FY06/12 forecast for the adjusted financial year in our next report.

We maintain our “buy” rating and an unchanged RNAV derived target price of RM9.30. At current price level, the company is trading at 10.8x CY12 PE, a 41.3% discount to its historical average PE of 18.4 times, which is highly attractive. We continue to like Jaya Tiasa for: 1) its exposure to recovering timber prices on the back of reconstruction demand from Japan as well as infrastructure demand from India and China; and 2) diversification into palm oil coupled with increasing matured acreage (about +49.0% y-o-y in FY12E). — Affin IB Research, Dec 22


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, December 23, 2011.




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