Friday, 2 December 2011

CIMB Research has technical buy on Alliance Financial Group at RM3.65

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 2): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on Alliance Financial Group (AFG) at RM3.65 at which it is trading at a FY13 price-to-earnings of 10.7 times and price-to-book value of 1.6 times.

It said on Friday that AFG broke out of its consolidation triangle pattern on Thursday on rising volume.

“We anticipate the next up leg to lift prices towards the RM3.80 and RM4.00 resistances.

“Technical landscape is improving. MACD signal line has staged a positive crossover while RSI has also hooked upward,” it said.

CIMB Research said that aggressive traders may start to nibble now. However, always place a stop at below the resistance-turned-support channel (now at RM3.57).



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CIMB Research has technical buy on 1 Utopia at 9 sen

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 2): CIMB Equities Research has a technical buy on 1 Utopia at 9.0 sen at which it is trading at a price-to-book value of 0.7 times.

It said on Friday 1 Utopia is trying to penetrate the triangle resistance. If it succeeds, there is a good chance that prices may re-rate towards 11 sen and 14 sen.

“However, only risk takers should look at this stock due to its penny-nature. Expect great volatility,” it said.

CIMB Research said the MACD is poised for a positive crossover, suggesting that the bulls are slowly making a comeback. RSI too has hooked upward. These positive readings further reinforce our short term positive view on the stock.

“As long as prices stay above the 7.5 sen levels, we will continue to stick with the bull’s camp. However, traders may want to put a stop at between 8.0 sen and 7.5 sen depending on one’s risk appetite,” it said.



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HDBSVR sees Tenaga giving KLCI a boost amid cautious mkt

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 2): Hwang DBS Vickers Research expects power giant TENAGA NASIONAL BHD [] (TNB) to give the FBM KLCI a boost on Thursday amid a more cautious market after the weaker overnight close on Wall Street.

The research house said TNB would benefit from the fuel cost sharing mechanism with Petronas and the government, which would translate to substantial cost savings.

As for the broader market, HDBSVR said the KLCI after posting cumulative gains of 53.7 points or 3.8% over three straight days, the benchmark FBM KLCI could swing sideways with a marginal downward bias ahead.

“The immediate support and resistance levels are currently seen at 1,475 and 1,500, respectively,” it said.

As for Wall Street, the research house said the US market gave a mixed performance last night in the absence of more market-stimulating news.

Key U.S. equity indices ended between -0.2% and +0.2% following a three-day winning streak.

As for Bursa Malaysia, it said TPC Plus shares may see action after a local newspaper speculated Huat Lai Resources could announce by the end of next month a mandatory general offer for TPC Plus at not less than 30 sen per share.



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Stocks to watch: Tenaga, O&G, DRB-Hicom, LonBisc

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 2): Investors should brace for some profit taking on Friday after two straight days of gains, propelled by liquidity move by major central banks that raised hopes policymakers would take more steps to tackle the crisis.

However, the surge in share prices of some of the companies might not reflect the cautious outlook for the October-December quarter especially after the less than impressive financial results in the earlier quarter.

Nevertheless, a sentiment-driven rally could also see another trading surge in penny stocks, which had been moderately reined in after Bursa Malaysia Securities clamped down on the trading in the securities of Harvest Court Industries.

Among the stocks to watch would be Tenaga Nasional, oil and gas-related companies, DRB-HICOM BHD [] and LONDON BISCUITS BHD [].

Tenaga has received a letter from the government that provides a fuel cost sharing mechanism to address the utility’s increased cost due to the gas shortage. This could see a rerating of the stock which had been impacted by high fuel costs.

The letter provided that Tenaga, Petronas and the government would each equally share the differential cost incurred by Tenaga due to dispatching on alternative fuels and also imports, from Jan 1, 2010 until Oct 31, 2011 amounting to approximately RM3.07 billion.

Oil and gas related companies could see trading interest after Petronas president and CEO Datuk Shamsul Azhar Abbas said on Thursday the RM300 billion as capital expenditure (capex) over five years was intact.

He had also said the national oil corporation’s growth agenda remains intact to meet rising long term demand for oil and gas. This could spur interests in the oil and gas companies.

Heavy users of electricity would have to take note of Shamsul’s statement that the era of subsidised gas was over.

“Growing reliance on cheap gas discourages end-users from pursuing energy efficiency,” he said, warning that the bulk of tomorrow’s gas requirements would be derived from imports at market prices. “The days of abundant subsidised gas are effectively over,” he said.

DRB-Hicom has issued RM500 million in nominal value of Sukuk in two tranches which would be used for working capital, projects and capital expenditure. The sukuk had been accorded a final rating of AA-IS by Malaysian Rating Corporation Bhd with a stable outlook.

London Biscuits Bhd’s private placement of 10.25 million new shares of RM1 each has been fixed at RM1 per share -- or 22% above the five-days volume weighted average market price up to and including Nov 30 of 82 sen per share. The placement shares represented 10% of its paid-up share capital.

FAVELLE FAVCO BHD [] is mulling plans to manufacture cranes in China following its acquisition of a 60% stake in a Shanghai Favco Engineering Machinery Manufacturing Co Ltd for 10.8 million renminbi or RM5.33 million.

It had subscribed for 10.80 million shares of 1.0 renminbi each in Shanghai Favco.



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DRB-Hicom issues RM500m debt notes for working capital, projects

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 1): DRB-HICOM BHD [] has issued RM500 million in nominal value of Sukuk in two tranches which would be used for working capital, projects and capital expenditure.

It said on Thursday the sukuk had been accorded a final rating of AA-IS by Malaysian Rating Corporation Bhd with a stable outlook.

The first tranche of the Sukuk, amounting to RM250 million in nominal value shall have a tenure of five years maturing on Nov 30, 2016.

The second tranche of the Sukuk, amounting to RM250.0 million in nominal value shall have a tenure of seven years, maturing on Nov 30, 2018.



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Favelle Favco mulls crane manufacturing in China

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 1): FAVELLE FAVCO BHD [] is mulling plans to manufacture cranes in China following its acquisition of a 60% stake in a Shanghai Favco Engineering Machinery Manufacturing Co Ltd for 10.8 million renminbi or RM5.33 million.

It said on Thursday it had subscribed for 10.80 million shares of 1.0 renminbi each in Shanghai Favco.

To recap, Shanghai Favco was incorporated in China on Dec 18, 2009 with an authorised share capital of 21 million renminbi. It is presently dormant and plans are for it to manufacture cranes.



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London Biscuits 10.25m placement shares fixed at RM1 each

KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 1): LONDON BISCUITS BHD []’s private placement of 10.25 million new shares of RM1 each has been fixed at RM1 per share.

It said on Thursday the RM1 issue price was about 22% above the five-days volume weighted average market price up to and including Nov 30 of 82 sen per share.

The placement shares represented 10% of its paid-up share capital.



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Thursday, 1 December 2011

Petronas quarterly profit jumps 48%

Petroliam Nasional Bhd, Malaysia’s state oil company, announced plans to tackle the Southeast Asian nation’s gas supply shortage as it reported a 48 per cent jump in quarterly profit.

The Kuala Lumpur-based group, which manages all the country’s energy reserves, will build a fourth gas import terminal and a second floating liquefied natural gas plant, Chief Executive Officer Shamsul Azhar Abbas told reporters today. It also agreed to partially absorb extra costs incurred by power producer Tenaga Nasional Bhd due to supply disruptions, he said.

Gas shortages have forced Tenaga to buy costlier oil and distillate for electricity generation. This incurs additional cost of RM400 million (US$127 million) every month, Chief Executive Officer Che Khalib Mohamad Noh said on Oct. 28. Petroliam Nasional, or Petronas, has reduced supplies of low- cost, subsidized natural gas due to maintenance of plants.

“As a national company, we’ll play our part and share the misery,” Shamsul said. “We hope Tenaga will play its part too. Tenaga is encouraged to be inefficient and we’re not prepared to fund the inefficiency.”

Petronas spends as much as RM20 billion a year to subsidize gas at below market price to industrial users including Tenaga, said Shamsul. Malaysia needs to shift to a market-driven mechanism to determine prices, he said.

Tenaga posted a RM453.9 million loss in the three months ended Sept. 30, while Petronas said net income climbed to RM16 billion from RM10.8 billion a year earlier. Sales grew 26 per cent to RM71.8 billion, the oil corporation said in a statement.

Boosting Reserves

Increased earnings will boost the amount of spare cash Petronas has to spend on discovering new energy reserves after paying RM30 billion in dividends to the Malaysian government again this year.

Crude oil prices in New York averaged US$89.63 a barrel in the three months ended Sept. 30, up from US$76.20 a year earlier. Higher oil prices in the three months through September also boosted quarterly earnings of Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Europe’s biggest oil company.

Oil prices will likely average US$85 to US$87 a barrel in 2012, Shamsul said.

Petronas may venture into the power generation business in Japan and India, the chief executive said. It’s also bidding for an oil and gas rights in Myanmar, Anuar Ahmad, executive vice president of gas and power business told reporters in Kuala Lumpur. -- Bloomberg



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